Indians vs. Tigers Predictions: MLB Over/Under Picks

Matt Zylbert has been on a heater. Make sure you tail his Tigers vs. Indians play for Monday
Matt Zylbert
Mon, May 24, 9:29 AM EDT

Tigers vs. Indians Prediction

Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers

Over/Under: 9

First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET

Probable pitchers: Sam Hentges (1-1, 6.46 ERA) vs. Spencer Turnbull (3-2, 2.88 ERA)

Tigers vs. Indians

Fresh off crafting the eighth no-hitter in Tigers franchise history, Turnbull is poised for more if his recent work is an indication.

I believe that’s the case going beyond the right-hander’s last outing. Not in the sense that he’ll toss another one here tonight — Johnny Van Meer is the only pitcher ever to pull off consecutive no-no’s — but Turnbull can sustain this groove he’s in if you see he’s trending up.

In his assignment prior to the no-hitter, Turnbull notched a quality start, meaning he’s clocked in with two straight now, something he had only done one other time in his four-year career. The former second-round draft pick has exhibited this potential before of being an upper-rotation arm and he’s just harnessing that.

His next foe, the division rival Indians, pose a threat to Turnbull’s momentum, as he’s 0-6 with a 5.18 ERA lifetime opposite Cleveland. However, this is a considerably different lineup Turnbull will be tangling with compared to ones from years’ past.

Francisco Lindor is no longer in town, obviously, and even Yasiel Puig is another former Indian that did notable damage with Turnbull on the hill. Additionally, and arguably just as important as anything, there will be no Franmil Reyes (oblique), too. This iteration of the Tribe is a group Turnbull can handle given his current run.

On the other end of the equation is someone making only his third Major League start (and seventh appearance), but this ideology will — like yesterday’s victorious under — be opponent centric.

Hentges is the man taking the ball for Cleveland this evening and the fact that he’s a southpaw could prove to be fruitful for such a relatively high over/under like 9.

As I’ve highlighted, the Tigers are terrible when taking on left-handed pitching, having an MLB-worst .581 team OPS against lefties. They also hit just .216.

Uncertainty could surround an unknown commodity like Hentges but he hasn’t had bad as his 6.46 ERA suggests. That number was severely inflated from his last start, when a Los Angeles Angels club with Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani and Anthony Rendon tagged the rookie for six runs and he couldn’t escape the second.

Previous to that, Hentges looked serviceable enough and that’s all we’ll really need this evening to precede solid Indians relievers. Even with the total standing at 8.5 in many places, I still recommend this wager, though you should also wait for a 9 leading up to first pitch.

Indians vs. Tigers Predictions & Picks

Pick: UNDER 9 @ -118 (Click to bet)

Monday's MLB Leans

Padres-Brewers Under 7

2021 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: “26-23-2,” -0.09 unit

Yesterday’s Result: Tigers-Royals Under 9 (WIN)

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

Matt Zylbert
@MattZylbert
Zylbert has been writing about baseball over/under bets for nearly a decade, attaining notable success in just about each season. Throughout the last three years, the veteran gambling analyst has amassed a 307-239-25 (56.2%) record on regular season totals while always recommending to flat bet every game for one unit.
0Betslip

Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.