Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction & Picks

Jason Radowitz breaks dow his play for Mariners vs. White Sox on Saturday
Jason Radowitz
Sat, June 26, 6:32 AM EDT

Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction & Picks

Date: Saturday, June 26, 2021

Time: 2:10 pm EST

Where: Guaranteed Rate Field

Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox Probable Pitchers: 

  • Mariners: Logan Gilbert (2-2, 4.50 ERA)
  • White Sox: Lance Lynn (7-3, 2.14 ERA)

View odds for the game here. 

Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction

The Seattle Mariners continue to surprise this season. They’re now 40-37 on the year and are still legitimately in playoff contention as we wrap up June.

However, the lineup looks questionable, the starting pitching is far from dominant and the relief pitching hasn’t been top tier. So can they really sustain this run of good baseball?

Logan Gilbert is slated to take the mound for the Mariners. The rookie pitcher is 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA along with a WHIP of 1.12. He’s got high strikeouts at 25.2 percent and a low walk rate at 5.6 percent on the season. However, his XFIP iis currently 4.33 and he’s allowing a BABIP of .275 while hitters are hitting just .227 on the season.

Since his debut, Gilbert has allowed multiple runs in every game but two. In 34 innings, he has allowed 30 hits in 34 innings with 17 earned runs. He’s also allowed 64 fly balls to just 32 ground balls.

The White Sox offense has potential against the right-hander who usually won’t go deep in games and exits after allowing a couple runs here and there.

Against righties this season, Brian Goodwin is batting .365 while Tim Anderson is batting .308 on the season. Going down the list, Yoan Moncada is batting a respectable .278 average with an on base percentage of .415.

The entire lineup has an OPS of at least above .650 on the season with Goodwin dominating righties.

Of course, Gilbert hasn’t faced this lineup before as he is a rookie but with the entire team holding a wOBA of .289 or higher, the White Sox should be able to damage early and often against Gilbert who hasn’t been very sharp this season outside two games.

Meanwhile, Lance Lynn is taking the hill for the White Sox. Lynn is 7-3 with a 2.14 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP. Lynn has been excellent this season but since the sticky stuff crackdown, he’s allowed nine runs in his last 10 innings.

However, those two games were against the Astros and Rays so therefore, it might have been just Lynn facing solid teams compared to him being bad with less sticky stuff.

Still, he allowed four walks in those two starts, although he also struck out 14 in thoe 10 innings.

On the season, Lynn has held opponents to a .194 average and has been really good limiting damage with runners on base holding an LOB percentage of 83.6 percent.

The Mariners lineup is hit or miss. Lynn has walked a solid amount of lefties this season and rarely gets ground balls. J.P. Crawford, Jake Bauerss, and Taylor Trammell have shown potential walking and finding ways to get on base.

This team is a sneaky offense and I wouldn’t be surprised if the Mariners stuck around a little bit in this game. They’re able to add a bunch of righties and lefties in the lineup to keep pitchers off balanced throughout the game and it’s worked to their advantage plenty of times.

But I’m not going to sit here and rely on the Mariners to score runs. Instead, I’ll take the White Sox to score five runs in this game. If the Mariners want to score four runs, that’s fine by me. That means the White Sox would be guaranteed a ninth inning to score five runs, if needed.

Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox PredictionWhite Sox Over 4.5 TT @ -105

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