Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Prediction: Over/Under Picks

Monday’s MLB Over/Under Bet: All-Star fallout affects aces in South Beach
Matt Zylbert
Mon, July 5, 1:08 PM EDT

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Over/Under: 7

First pitch: 6:40 p.m. ET

View odds for the game here.

Probable pitchers: Walker Buehler (8-1, 2.35) vs. Trevor Rogers (7-5, 2.14 ERA)

There’s always going to be snubs in an All-Star Game. Unfortunately for Buehler, he’s one such casualty entering the first Midsummer Classic since the pandemic.

Being 8-1 alongside a shiny 2.35 ERA, Buehler easily has the resume to make the National League squad, and most interestingly, the one doing the selecting of pitchers was his own manager Dave Roberts. Thus, we have a very fascinating scenario of Buehler — already an established ace and postseason hero at age 26 — of wanting to make a statement to the only man he’s pitched for since first coming up to the Majors four years ago.

The Vanderbilt product couldn’t be hotter right now, too, having strung a quality start in a career-high nine consecutive assignments. He’ll be extra motivated to battle his counterpart, who is an All Star.

Rogers is certainly deserving in his own right, making a huge jump in year two. The lanky 6-foot-5 southpaw continues to not only dominate hitters (10.7 K/9) with regularity, but he’s also been consistent.

In fact, Rogers has held the opponent to three runs or fewer in all 16 of his starts (!), allowing more than two runs in an outing only three times. He’s establishing himself as one of the best strikeout artists in the league, and in the process, Rogers has entrenched himself as one of just 15 starters in baseball limiting hitters below the scary Mendoza Line (.200) in average.

The Dodgers, of course, boast one of the top lineups in baseball. However, as I’ve covered before, they’re a bunch far less dangerous opposite left-handed pitching compared to right-handers, paving a way for the Marlin southpaw to thrive tonight.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Prediction: UNDER 7 (+102)

Leans

Brewers-Mets Under 7.5

Red Sox-Angels Over 10

2021 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: “49-37-5,” +7.02 units

Yesterday’s Result: Brewers-Pirates Under 8 (WIN)

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

Matt Zylbert
@MattZylbert
Zylbert has been writing about baseball over/under bets for nearly a decade, attaining notable success in just about each season. Throughout the last three years, the veteran gambling analyst has amassed a 307-239-25 (56.2%) record on regular season totals while always recommending to flat bet every game for one unit.
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