MLB Picks & Odds: Angels vs. Mariners Prediction

Jason Radowitz breaks down Saturday's Angels vs. Mariners game
Jason Radowitz
Sat, July 10, 7:24 AM EDT

MLB Picks: Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction

Date: July 10

Time: 10:10pm ET

Where: T-Mobile Park

Click here to view the latest odds

Angels vs. Mariners Probable Pitchers

  • Angels: Patrick Sandoval (2-2, 3.86 ERA)
  • Mariners: Chris Flexen (7-3, 3.80 ERA)

It’s been a real journey for Chris Flexen. Flexen struggled at first in the big leagues and soon went to the KBO to find his stuff again. He did well enough with the Doosan Bears and was awarded a two-year deal with the Seattle Mariners as a starter.

This will be his final start of the first half and it’s been an interesting one. He’s 7-3 with a 3.80 ERA on the year along with a 1.25 WHIP.

Flexen isn’t going to overpower you like he did in the KBO. Instead, he’s going to get low strikeouts and limit hard contact while doing so.

But against righties, in his last 30 days, he’s allowed them to hit a wOBA of .343 with a .190 ISO. He’s also walked righties 8.7 percent of the time and struggles to get a high amount of grounders against those righties.

Right now, his BABIP on the season is .309 and he’s only striking out 16.4 percent of batters. He also has a SIERA of 4.53 along with an xFIP of 4.40.

In June and July combined, Flexen has also pitched five or more innings in every start while allowing 3 ER or less in each game but one. In his last five starts, he’s put together four quality starts.

But to be fair, he’s been a bit lucky. Against righties, he’s been hit well and he’ll have to face an Angels lineup filled with righties (and lefties who slug righties.)

The Angels lineup will likely have six or seven right-handed batters along with Shohei Ohtani and Jared Walsh, who absolutely torch right-handed pitching from the left side.

Against righties, the Angels projected lineup has a .229 ISO and a wOBA of .332 and while the team strikes out at a high rate, don’t expect Flexen to earn more than a strikeout per inning at best.

The Angels limit grounders against righties and have plenty of batters that can hit for hard contact against righties including not only Ohtani and Wlash but also Max Stassi, Taylor Ward and Juan Lagares.

The Mariners bullpen has been really good this season and the Mariners, at home, have put together some solid rallies as of late.

Last night, the Angels came out quick for a 3-0 lead, only to lose 3-0. Therefore, we’re just going to take the Angels against Flexen in the first five innings.

The Angels should have plenty of guys on base and many chances to score. They’ll just need some clutch hitting against Flexen and they’re more than capable of doing that early in this game.

I’d expect at least three runs from this lineup with a bunch of power from the left side and plenty of average hitters that can do damage against Flexen from the right side.

MLB Picks - Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: Angels F5 TT Over 2 @ -121

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