Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction & Over/Under Pick

Monday’s MLB Over/Under Bet: Analyzing the disrespect of Manning, Pineda
Matt Zylbert
Mon, July 26, 2:01 PM EDT

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction & Over/Under Pick

Over/Under: 10

First pitch: 8:10 p.m. ET

Probable pitchers: Matt Manning (2-3, 5.79 ERA) vs. Michael Pineda (4-5, 3.93 ERA)

View odds for the game here.

Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction

Woa, why the disrespect from the books? Do they not realize that the guy with a 5.79 ERA is a highly-touted rookie that just may be hitting his stride right now?

Manning may not possess pretty stats at the moment but his ceiling — in my opinion — projects the former first-round draft pick as potentially one of the top aces in the game sometime down the line.

In the meantime, the precursors are there for Manning to establish himself at this level. For instance, he’s coming off the first quality start of his career that also saw him punch out a personal-high four.

Of course, that’s not a mark to brag about, as he’s only logging a paltry 4.18 K/9, but given Manning’s strikeout rate at Triple-A earlier this season (10.02 K/9, which is where he resided around throughout his minor league journey), that number will inflate a lot sooner than later.

Overall, Manning hasn’t been bad at all in his first taste of the big leagues. One rough outing is what ballooned his ERA, and outside of that, he allowed two runs in each of his five other starts on the year.

A date against the Twins earlier this month was part of his showcase and the right-hander fared well, clocking out after five innings of two-run, two-hit baseball.

As part of such a high total, something decent from the youngster will do and Manning is exhibiting right now that he’s capable of much more than that right now. Plus, this Twins lineup he’ll be facing is weaker than the one he faced a few weeks ago, now not having Nelson Cruz.

Pineda is also being shafted by the linesmakers in this assignment. After all, aside from his solid track record across many years now, this is an opponent the burley Dominican native has mastered.

In fact, Pineda’s matched against the Tigers eight times in his career, and only once (in his rookie season of 2011) did the veteran yield more than three runs. Since joining Minnesota two years ago, he’s seen Detroit five times, pitching to the tune of a 3.90 ERA and 1.10 WHIP while stringing together a cozy 30-3 K/BB ratio.

The 32-year-old recently came back from injury — always a potential variable in the short term — but Pineda proved he’s just fine his last time out when he rang up five quality innings opposite the White Sox.

Being likely that this total will tick down (or dodging the extra juice if it stays at 10), be sure to get this under as soon as possible.

Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction: UNDER 10 (-109)

Leans

Braves-Mets Under 6.5 (Game 1)

2021 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: “55-44-7,” +5.28 units

Yesterday’s Result: Pirates-Giants Under 8 (WIN)

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

Matt Zylbert
@MattZylbert
Zylbert has been writing about baseball over/under bets for nearly a decade, attaining notable success in just about each season. Throughout the last three years, the veteran gambling analyst has amassed a 307-239-25 (56.2%) record on regular season totals while always recommending to flat bet every game for one unit.
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