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MLB expert Matt Zylbert provides his San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks predictions for tonight's MLB slate. As usual he examines the over/under market for the best bet.

San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Over/Under Bet

Monday’s MLB Over/Under Bet: Disco night in the Desert

San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Over/Under: 9.5

First pitch: 9:40 p.m. ET

TV: MLB Network (joined in progress)

Probable pitchers: Anthony DeSclafani (10-5, 3.10 ERA) vs. Taylor Widener (1-1, 4.42 ERA)

DeSclafani wasn’t recognized with an All-Star Game trip for his breakout this season but that shouldn’t take away from the fact that he’s enjoyed a true renaissance in his first year as a Giant.

The veteran right-hander always exhibited this type of potential in flashes, so it really shouldn’t be that shocking what he’s accomplishing in 2021. Nor should it be surprising maintaining this star output.

Although Disco is coming off his shortest-tying outing of the campaign, we can give him a break for that, seeing as how it came against the defending champion Dodgers, whom have had his number. In fact, if you take out DeSclafani’s five meetings with LA this season, he would be sitting with a pristine 1.78 ERA right now.

Fortunately, tonight’s assignment doesn’t involve the reigning champs. DeSclafani has another division rival on his plate instead, and one he’s handled quite well.

He’s only faced the D-backs twice in his new digs but they were a very successful pair of outings, one of which came just an out short of what would have been his fourth career complete game. Across the two outings, Disco posted a 1.98 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 12-3 K/BB ratio in 13.2 frames.

With how consistent he’s been (in matchups not opposite the Dodgers), DeSclafani appears like a good bet for more quality pitching. And in a game featuring a high total, that’s very valuable.

But can Widener be useful here as well?

I may be biased, as I am a fan of the 26-year-old rookie, but he seems trustworthy enough to at least provide serviceable work while the counterpart does his thing.

This is also an opportunity to catch Widener on the upswing if you’re a believer in the righty’s talents. Widener allowed 10 runs combined across his previous two outings — this after yielding only eight runs total in his first six assignments — but that won’t continue.

The former South Carolina Gamecock is about to tangle with the best team in baseball. However, this is a club that, despite the addition of stud slugger Kris Bryant, does not feature an offense that is intimidating as their record might indicate.

Widener comes into the ballgame with solid potential to register a quality start. Doing so paves a path for Disco to lead.

Pick: UNDER 9.5 (-109)


Indians-Blue Jays Over 9

2021 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: “57-48-8,” +2.92 units

Yesterday’s Result: Reds-Mets Under 9 (WIN)

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit


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