Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Pick
Date: Tuesday, August 3
Time: 8:10pm ET
Where: American Family Field
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Probable Pitchers:
- Pirates: Max Kranick (1-2, 7.31 ERA)
- Brewers: Adrian Houser (7-5, 3.69 ERA)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
The Brewers are now 21 games above .500 and really look like the real deal. This team is without their superstar in Christian Yelich but you wouldn’t know it thanks to their new acquisition Eduardo Escobar who is putting on a show in Milwaukee since arriving.
Escobar might be able to do more damage in today’s game as the Brewers go up against Max Kranick of the Pirates.
Kranick is 1-2 with a 7.31 ERA on the season. He’s thrown three games in July and has allowed 13 runs in 11 innings. However, he is getting one strikeout per inning in July but also gave up 21 hits in those 11 innings.
In the last 30 days, Kranick has an XFIP of 6.17 along with a strikeout rate of 18.3 percent. He’s walking 8.3 percent of batters and inducing ground balls just 33.3 percent of the time all while allowing a BABIP of .488.
Righties have a .472 wOBA along with a .261 ISO while lefties have a .429 wOBA and a little bit of power.
Again, the Brewers will be without Yelich for the time being but they’ve got a lineup that still projects very well against righties. The team is hitting an ISO of .210 with a wOBA of .341 thanks to the middle of the lineup with Willy Adames, Omar Narvaez, Eduardo Escobar, Avisail Garcia, Rowdy Tellez and Tyrone Taylor.
This is where the Brewers should be expected to do damage in the lineup. They’ll have six bats that have been consistent against righties bunched up together in the lineup. So when Adames gets on base, there’s potential every single inning for the Brewers to score runs.
With Kranick, he struggled later in his outings this season. The first time he faces a lineup, teams have a .235 average along with an OPS of .542. But when you fast forward to his second and third times against an order, his OPS elevates to over 1.000.
Adrian Houser will also take the mound for the Brewers with a 7-5 record and a 3.69 ERA. He’s had his ups and downs this season and currently has an XFIP of 5.81 in his last 30 days along with a low strikeout rate and high walk rate. It’s hard to back the Pirates regardless but they can score some runs early and keep up with the Brewers making it a back and forth affair.
But don’t be alarmed when the Brewers struggle early because by the third, fourth and fifth innings, the Brewers should absolutely make noise and score runs.
If you would like to live bet this game and get a better number, there’s a high chance you’ll get a better number by the third inning on a team total.
I’m looking forward to the bats exploding in the final three innings of the first five innings and that will be more than enough to cover the 2.5 team total.
As the home team, the Brewers likely only have eight innings to do damage offensively. That’s one of the reasons I'm sticking to a first five bet with the Brewers, even against the Pirates dreadful bullpen.