Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction & Pick
Date: Friday, August 6
Time: 10:10pm ET
Where: Dodger Stadium
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Probable Pitchers
- Angels: Patrick Sandoval (3-5, 3.38 ERA)
- Dodgers: David Price (4-1, 3.55 ERA)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
There is absolutely no denying that Patrick Sandoval of the Los Angeles Angels is on a tear. Sandoval watched his no-hitter broken up in the 9th inning against the Twins and then followed that performance allowing just one run on four hits in 5.2 innings against the A’s.
But on the season, Sandoval has been consistently allowing two or three runs per game. Now he’ll face a Dodgers lineup that has smoked lefties as of late while only striking out 16.4 percent of the time in the last 30 days.
No, Trea Turner isn’t back yet and won’t be in the Los Angeles lineup but this team is batting an average ISO of .375 with a wOBA of .468 against lefties in about 21 at-bats per batter.
Sandoval has been really good but if he gives you five or six innings along with three runs, the Dodgers will be able to tack on the final runs needed to score over their team total.
In the last 30 days, Patrick Sandoval has a 3.58 xFIP along with 30.1 percent strikeouts. Walks can get high as he’s walked 8.8 percent of batters. Sandoval has also allowed 35.8 percent hard contact in the last 30 days.
Plenty of Dodgers bats have had success against Sandoval. The team has an OPS of .904 including career numbers from Justin Turner, Chris Taylor, Will Smith, Coorey Seager, AJ Pollock, MAx Muncy, Mookie Betts, Cody Bellinger and Austin Barnes.
In 32 at-bats, those guys have eight hits with a double, three home runs and six RBI’s. They’ve also walked six times and struck out six times.
This team sees lefties well and while Sandoval has looked really good as of late, this is the perfect spot for him to regress and get caught for four or five runs.
Of course, once Sandoval exits the game, the Dodgers will get to face one of the worst bullpens in all of baseball and can slug off that bullpen for the remainder of runs they’ll need to win their team total.
On the other hand, it’ll be David Price on the mound for the Dodgers. He’s 4-1 with a 3.55 ERA and has been exactly what the Dodgers needed once they lost a couple of their starters from the rotation.
Price has allowed three runs or less in every start this season and thus has given his team a chance to win every time he steps on the mound. There’s nothing more you can ask of a veteran at this stage of his career.
Price has been inducing ground balls at 56.4 percent of the time and while he does have an xFIP at 4.61 and is lacking strikeouts, he’s getting out of jams with that ground ball. Righties have an ISO of .174 against Price in the last 50 plate appearances and the Angels will likely hit nine righties in the lineup.
The Angels could have some power but you’re looking at an Angels lineup that will be without Shohei Ohtani, Jared Walsh, Mike Trout and Anthony Rendon. This lineup is completely different with these guys injured or on the bench.
The Dodgers should win this one outright but to push the juice out, we’ll take the over 4.5 for the Dodgers on the team total. They’ll get at least three against Sandoval and then push those extra runs (if needed) against the bullpen.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction: Dodgers TT Over 4.5 @ -125