Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction & Over/Under Pick

Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs prediction. Over/Under picks for Saturday's game from MLB handicapper Matt Zylbert
Matt Zylbert
Sat, August 7, 8:05 AM EDT

Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction & Over/Under Pick

Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs

Over/Under: 9

First pitch: 2:20 p.m. ET

Probable pitchers: Carlos Rodon (8-5, 2.49 ERA) vs. Adbert Alzolay (4-11, 4.85 ERA)

Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction

Rodon has been so stellar this year that he was nearly awarded the honor of starting for the American League in the All-Star Game. He probably deserved it.

That means we’re about to get a legitimate dominant pitcher squaring off with probably the most ravaged — literally and spiritually — team from the recent trade deadline, those poor, poor Cubbies.

Losing the likes of star fan favorites Kris Bryant, Javier Baez and Anthony Rizzo will do that. Adding major downgrades in their vacancies make the north side of Chicago a prime destination for low-scoring affairs.

Just look at the Cubs lineup yesterday for the series opener: Greg Deichmann. Frank Schwindel. Rafael Ortega. Those were three of the top five hitters in the batting order! Sergio Alcantara and Andrew Romine, career dead bats, appeared, too.

That offense is going to scratch out more than a few runs with Rodon on the mound? Yeah, uh, ehh, advantage Rodon.

Thus, in a total as high as 9, we just need the other starter in this matchup to hang around, which I know we can get and more from Alzolay, a favorite of mine.

Do not be tricked by that undeserved 4-11 record next to Alzolay’s name. The 26-year-old has clearly been far better than that in his first full Major League season.

Simply look no further than the solid 3.93 xFIP Alzolay has registered. He’s also been maintaining the glaring strikeout-rate potential displayed throughout his first two years in the bigs, with 9.06 K/9.

Really the only problem for the Venezuela native is the long ball, having yielded 23 taters already. Interesting, only four of those came within his seven daytime assignments this season, when he’s looked notably better compared to night.

Alzolay is a guy that’s going to be around awhile and exudes potential of one day being an All-Star, like his counterpart today finally was for the first time. I think we can trust him for a solid performance.

Pick: UNDER 9 (-110)

Leans

Red Sox-Blue Jays Under 7 (Game 2)

Diamondbacks-Padres Under 8

2021 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: “59-51-8,” +1.58 units

Yesterday’s Result: Royals-Cardinals Under 8.5 (WIN)

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

Matt Zylbert
@MattZylbert
Zylbert has been writing about baseball over/under bets for nearly a decade, attaining notable success in just about each season. Throughout the last three years, the veteran gambling analyst has amassed a 307-239-25 (56.2%) record on regular season totals while always recommending to flat bet every game for one unit.
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