Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Predictions & Picks
Date: Monday, August 9
Time: 8:10pm ET
Where: Wrigley Field
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Probable Pitchers
- White Sox: Lucas Giolito (8-8, 3.98 ERA)
- Twins: Beau Burrows (0-0, 11.00 ERA)
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction
The White Sox are coming off a big, late-night victory against the Cubs on Sunday Night Baseball. The rule of thumb is always to fade teams coming off these types of games but there’s really no data to prove that point.
The Twins traded away Jose Berrios and are now stuck with starting Beau Burrows in their rotation. He’s currently 0-0 but has an 11 ERA, allowing at least one run in three of his four appearances on the mound for the Twins.
Burrows has thrown nine innings and allowed 11 earned runs with two home runs, seven walks and just six strikeouts.
Yes, he’s walked more batters than struck out and has also allowed 22 fly balls to just eight ground balls on the year.
In the last 30 days, Burrows has a 9.14 xFIP along with 8.8 percent strikeouts and 14.7 percent walks. He’s, again, not getting ground balls and allowing 50 percent hard contact which is never going to get the job done, especially when you can’t strike anyone out.
Lefties have a wOBA of .437 with an ISO of .375 in the last 13 plate appearances while righties have a wOBA of .459 and ISO of .471 in their last 21 plate appearances.
Basically, it doesn’t matter what side you’re batting on, Burrows is getting rocked as of late and doesn’t really belong in the rotation. The Twins are a dumpster fire and they’ve given up on the season thanks to a 48-64 record.
Burrows should surely help the loss column.
The White Sox lineup has looked good against righties as of late. As a group they’re hitting a .215 ISO and have a wOBA of .342 with nearly 10 percent walks in the last 30 days.
Two thirds of the lineup has consistently hit the ball hard against righties and they’ve really done well limiting strikeouts with only four batters having high strikeout percentages in the projected lineup.
On the flip side, it’ll be Lucas Giolito getting the start for the White Sox. He’s 8-8 with a 3.98 ERA. There’s games where he looks fantastic and others where you scratch your head and wonder if he’s an ace.
His last start against the Royals, we all scratched our heads after he allowed six runs on eight hits with three home runs and just two strikeouts in four innings. Giolito took the loss against the Royals and couldn’t even finish five innings in the start.
The last time Giolito faced the Twins, he went six innings and allowed six hits with three runs. He only struck out one batter and allowed a home run. It was a below average performance against the Twins.
However, earlier in the year, Giolito went eight innings allowing just two hits with one home run and 11 strikeouts.
This is why Giolito is impossible to figure out. In the last 30 days he has an xFIP of 5.00 but has a high amount of strikeouts and has limited walks as of late.
Righties have an ISO of .190 against Giolito in the last 67 plate appearances. The righties in the Twins lineup that can do damage would be Brent Rooker, Miguel Sano, and Ryan Jeffers (if he even gets the start.)
I still like Giolito to pitch a quality start in this game but I’m not taking any chances. Instead, I’ll roll with the White Sox to score three runs in the first five innings.
MLB Picks - Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction: White Sox Over 2.5 F5 TT (-125) at Draft Kings
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Odds & Lines
Chicago White Sox -189
Minnesota Twins +170
Chicago White Sox -2: -120
Minnesota Twins +2: -120
Over 9.5: -104
Under 9.5: +100