Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves Predictions & Pick

Wednesday's Reds vs. Braves game features two teams in playoff contention, looking for a win to keep it that way. Jason Radowitz gives us his Reds vs. Braves prediction.
Jason Radowitz
Wed, August 11, 10:43 AM EDT

Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves Predictions & Pick

Date: Wednesday, August 11

Time: 7:20pm ET

Where: Truist Park

Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves Probable Pitchers

  • Reds: Wade Miley (9-4, 2.75 ERA)
  • Braves: Touki Toussaint (1-2, 4.43 ERA)

Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction

Reds vs. Braves Odds

The Reds are currently 61-53 and fighting for a wild card spot in National League. They’ve got an “easy” strength of schedule to conclude the season while the Padres will have to face plenty of hard competition. There’s a chance we see the Reds in the playoffs.

Meanwhile, the Braves have also looked really good as of late and are now three games over .500 and right in the thick of things in the NL East.

On the season, both teams have had struggles with their pitching and have won games thanks to their offense.

That’s how tonight will go as well.

The Reds will send out Wade Miley who shut down the Pirates through seven innings in his last start. This Pirates team has struggled with lefties a lot recently so this wasn’t surprising. Miley allowed three earned runs in his previous two games and only struck out two batters in each of those games as well.

In the last 30 days, Miley has an xFIP of 5.02 while striking out 15.9 percent of batters and walking 11.2 percent of batters. Miley is giving up 28.2 percent line drive contact and 41 percent hard contact.

That’s not going to bode well against a lineup that has six of their eight hitters hitting hard contact against lefties in the last 30 days. Miley has struggled fooling righties with just 13.6 percent strikeouts.

He’ll most likely face all righties but Freddie Freeman in this lineup.

The Braves have crushed lefties as of late too. They’ve got an ISO of .254 and wOBA of .335 against lefties in the last 30 days. They’ll also return Travis d’Arnaud who could be a huge addition offensively as a right-handed bat. He’s better than Kevan Smith!

On the flip side, Touki Toussaint will get the start for the Braves. He started off the season well but has now struggled since allowing 10 runs in his last 8.2 innings of work. Toussaint has given up three home runs throughout those innings and just eight strikeouts to go along with 11 hits and four walks.

In the last 30 days, righties have hit a .336 wOBA and ISO of .269. Righties that can do damage would include Jonathan India, Nick Castellanos, and Kyle Farmer. Those guys could be the big RBI guys with Toussaint walking over 11 percent of lefties as of late.

Against righties, the Reds lineup has an ISO of .254 and wOBA of .364 in the last 30 days. This team is hitting 27 percent line drives, which is an extremely good rate and they’re keeping the ball off the ground for the most part with just a ground ball rate of 39.7 percent.

Between these two ball clubs, there’s a lot of offense to go around. The Reds and Braves are starting to get healthy again (minus Ronald Acuna, of course) and that just makes it more fun for the bats.

I’m expecting both teams to come out hot offensively against their opposition. Nobody would be surprised when these pitchers leave the game after allowing three innings through five innings.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction:  Over 4.5 F5 @ -155

Click here to see the latest Red vs. Braves odds

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