Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction & Pick

Saturday's Royals vs. Mariners game should be a low-scoring matchup. MLB handicapper Matt Zylbert breaks down the game and gives us his pick
Matt Zylbert
Sat, August 28, 11:13 AM EDT

Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction & Pick

Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners

Over/Under: 8.5

First pitch: 4:10 p.m. ET

Probable pitchers: Daniel Lynch (4-3, 4.74 ERA) vs. Tyler Anderson (6-8, 4.07 ERA)

Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction

Royals vs. Mariners odds

What a major turnaround by Lynch, huh?

The 6-foot-6 southpaw got out to a disastrous beginning to his career in the big leagues earlier this year, allowing 15 runs (14 earned) in total across his first three starts. He was sent down right after.

Since resurfacing after the All-Star break, though, Lynch is a new man. He’s yielded just nine runs combined in his six starts from that point on, looking consistent, too, as he hasn’t been hit for more than three runs in any of those six assignments. Lynch is now showing why he was the No. 34 overall draft pick only three years ago.

Clearly, adjustments were made and I’m willing to bet Lynch can keep it going while in such a groove, especially now that he gets to face arguably baseball’s worst team opposite left-handed pitching. Like a year ago, the Mariners are dead last among all 30 clubs in team batting average (.226) when a southpaw is doing the dealing. Additionally, they’re tied for the third-lowest team OPS (.680) as well.

Anderson, another lefty, has been smooth sailing pretty much the whole campaign (as I projected when I dubbed him one of my top sleepers entering the season) and just continues to churn out quality work.

Since being traded to Seattle, the six-year veteran hasn’t slowed down one bit. In fact, he has not given up more than three runs in any of his five starts as a Mariner, nor has he in his last 10 straight overall — easily the best such streak of his career.

Notably, this will be the second home date for Anderson since joining his new mates, something that could also provide a boost given that he went to school in the Pacific Northwest area (he was an Oregon Duck).

At the root of it, there are two left-handers both in comfortable rhythms right now. Continued solid work can silence the bats.

Pick: UNDER 8.5 (-113)

Leans

Astros-Rangers Under 9

2021 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: “67-61-9,” -1.33 units

Yesterday’s Result: Diamondbacks-Phillies Under 9 (“loss”)

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

Matt Zylbert
@MattZylbert
Zylbert has been writing about baseball over/under bets for nearly a decade, attaining notable success in just about each season. Throughout the last three years, the veteran gambling analyst has amassed a 307-239-25 (56.2%) record on regular season totals while always recommending to flat bet every game for one unit.
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