Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction & Pick
- Brewers: Adrian Houser (7-5, 3.44 ERA)
- Twins: Charlie Barnes (0-3, 6.56 ERA)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction
Last night, the Brewers and Twins combined for just two runs and got nothing going offensively when runners were on base. Throughout the game, both teams came up empty handed with bases loaded. So you could only imagine what the score would’ve looked like if both teams were a bit clutch.
The Twins will send out Charlie Barnes, a left-handed pitcher who has a 6.56 ERA on the season. In his last start, eight days ago, Barnes allowed eight hits and seven runs against the Yankees through five innings. In three of his four starts this month, he’s allowed at least three runs and has not struck out more than three batters in any of his starts.
At this point, the Twins know they’ve got an awful bullpen. Barness was left out to dry in his last start, throwing 109 pitches, again, despite giving up seven runs.
Barnes has faced 64 righties in the last 30 days and has allowed a .427 wOBA and ISO of .218. With the Twins at home, the Brewers will get nine position players to swing away against Barnes, including six right-handed batters along with lefties like Kolten Wong, Christian Yelich and Rowdy Tellez.
The group has an ISO of .201 and wOBA of .357 against lefties in the last 30 days. They’re also striking out just 16.6 percent of the time and have six batters who have hit a high number of line drives against lefties during the same time frame.
Barnes currently has a WHIP of 1.63 and an FIP of 6.00. He’s basically walking as many batters as he’s striking out and has allowed 1.54 home runs per nine innings.
He’s only got four starts and five games under his belt but he’s shown just how hittable he is at the major league level. Batters have an on-base average of .308 and OPS of .879 on the season.
The Brewers bats have a full lineup of guys capable of going yard with six of the nine batters hitting an ISO of .214 or above. Yelich has struggled a bit in the middle of the order but he’s also hitting 30.8 percent line drives against lefties in the last 30 days. Things should turn around for me.
Then you’ve got Lorenzo Cain, who has also struggled against lefties with a .056 ISO and .261 wOBA. However, in 18 plate appearances, he hasn’t had one strikeout against lefties within the last month and is still hitting 22.2 percent line-drive contact.
Both of these batters can absolutely turn things around against Barnes tonight. Really anyone can.
Let’s take the Brewers to score three runs in the first five innings. Barnes has allowed three or more runs in three of his four appearances in August.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction: Brewers F5 TT Over 2.5 @ -125