St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Pick

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates prediction and pick for Sunday's game between the two teams in Pittsburgh. MLB handicapper Matt Zylbert's pick on the total
Matt Zylbert
Sun, August 29, 8:27 AM EDT

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Pick

St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates

Over/Under: 9

First pitch: 1:05 p.m. ET

Probable pitchers: Kwang-Hyun Kim (6-6, 3.27 ERA) vs. Wil Crowe (3-7, 5.46 ERA)

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Cardinals vs. Pirates odds

Though he only recently returned from injury, Kim looks like he’s on the verge of picking up where he left off a month ago.

The South Korean import was enjoying a very nice second season in the bigs — at age 33, by the way, after spending the majority of his career overseas — even carrying a sub-3.00 ERA into late July.

A brief stint on the injured list doesn’t seem like it will affect the left-hander following his first appearance back; a two-plus, hitless-innings job as a reliever.

Now Kim is back in the rotation for the first time in almost a month and appears prime to settle in again right away. At least that’s what this matchup suggests, as the Pirates sport the worst team OPS (.670) versus southpaws in the National League.

Crowe, meanwhile, has not looked nearly as consistent as his counterpart this season. However, when he’s on his game, the second-year righty has proven he is a more-than-capable Major League pitcher.

That’s the side of Crowe I’m banking on this afternoon. He’ll be in his most comfortable atmosphere for such a spot — starting at home and during the daytime — in which he’s performed considerably better in his young career.

Have there been some Jekyll-and-Hyde tendencies from Crowe? Sure. But catching him at the right time can be very beneficial taking on a high total. Based on his upward trend lately, we may be getting Crowe in the midst of a really nice stretch.

Pick: UNDER 9 (-115)

Leans

Diamondbacks-Phillies Under 8.5

Astros-Rangers Under 9

2021 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: “68-61-9,” -0.33 unit

Yesterday’s Result: Royals-Mariners Under 8.5 (WIN)

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

Matt Zylbert
@MattZylbert
Zylbert has been writing about baseball over/under bets for nearly a decade, attaining notable success in just about each season. Throughout the last three years, the veteran gambling analyst has amassed a 307-239-25 (56.2%) record on regular season totals while always recommending to flat bet every game for one unit.
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