Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction & Pick

On Wednesday, the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago White Sox meet to close their series. Jason Radowitz breaks down his Pirates vs. White Sox predictions
Jason Radowitz
Wed, September 1, 6:45 AM EDT

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction & Pick

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox Probable Pitchers

  • Pirates: Max Kranick (1-2, 7.20 ERA)
  • White Sox: Carlos Rodon (10-5, 2.43 ERA)

Pirates vs. White Sox odds

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction

Just as the White Sox became close to full strength, they’ve had to endure some new blows. Lance Lynn landed on the injured list while shortstop Tim Anderson has been sidelined with an injury and is expected to sit out of this game as well.

Lynn means nothing to this specific game, but having Anderson would’ve been nice.

The White Sox will take on Max Kranick, the right-hander that has a 7.20 ERA for the Pirates in five starts this season.

Kranick’s last start came against the Brewers where he allowed three runs on five hits in four innings. He walked three and struck out four in that game. The kid had a great debut against the Cardinals back in June but since then it’s been below average from there.

He has a 6.17 xFIP on the season along with an 18.9 percent strikeout rate and an 8.4 percent walk rate. He’s getting just 31.3 percent ground balls and allowing 23.9 percent line-drive contact. Kranick, although right-handed, has really struggled with righties. He’s faced 48 righties this season and has allowed a .382 wOBA and ISO of .233.

On top of all that, Kranick has struck out just 16.7 percent of righties and has walked 10.6 percent of lefties.

As I said earlier, Tim Anderson won’t be in the lineup for the White Sox, leading off. Instead, it’ll be Luis Robert in the lead-off spot for the White Sox along with tons of power in this lineup.

Robert, Jose Abreu, Eloy Jimenez, Yasmani Grandal and Brian Goodwin have serious power against righties and have shown it off within the last 30 days. Yoan Moncada has some sneaky power as well and walks 16.4 percent of the time.

In this lineup, if you don’t have power, you’re able to walk and if you’re unable to walk, you’re likely going to have power.

Moncada, Andrew Vaughn, Leury Garcia and Cesar Hernandez have all struggled against righties with power but each of those four batters are walking at least 10 percent of the time against righties. With Kranick throwing 15 percent walks in the last 30 days, there’s a good chance runners will be on when the White Sox show off their power.

With that, I’ll take the White Sox at even money on the team total of over 3 in the first five innings. Kranick has looked like hot garbage every opportunity he gets. Having that 3 as insurance will be crucial. If the White Sox only scrape three across the board through five innings, this bet will be a push and nothing will be lost. If they find a way to get that fourth run, as expected, this bet will cash.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction: White Sox F5 TT Over 3 @ +100

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