Detroit Tigers vs Oakland Athletics Prediction & Pick

Detroit Tigers vs Oakland Athletics Prediction & Pick for Thursday's afternoon game from MLB handicapper Matt Zylbert. Which side of the total is he on?
Matt Zylbert
Thu, September 2, 8:15 AM EDT

Detroit Tigers vs Oakland Athletics Prediction & Pick

Detroit Tigers vs Oakland Athletics

Over/Under: 9

First pitch: 1:10 p.m. ET

TV: MLB Network

Probable pitchers: Frankie Montas (10-9, 3.66 ERA) vs. Matt Manning (3.55 ERA)

Detroit Tigers vs Oakland Athletics Prediction

Tigers vs A's Odds

Getting someone that’s peaking in a relatively high over/under is always optimal. That’s the case here for Montas.

Just look at what the Oakland right-hander has been doing. Montas strung together eight quality starts in his last nine tries, even notching three 10-strikeout games during this span — he had four such efforts in his career prior.

Well, that’s a solid indicator to me that Montas is in top form right now, the form that has earned him Pitcher of the Month honors before. Being a longtime fan of the burley Dominican native, I know he’s capable of much more when going strong.

At the very least, his current run points to another quality showing, and if you know that advance, you’re already in good shape for an under. How about Manning?

The 2016 No. 9 overall draft pick is another starter — like Montas — that I’m a fan of from the beginning, and it’s pleasing to see he’s coming off probably his best start since first debuting in June.

Manning’s last turn in the rotation saw the rookie limit the hard-hitting Toronto Blue Jays to only one run arose six sharp innings. Most notably, he finally had a respectable strikeout total, amassing five K’s — of course, that’s still not much, but it does represent a career-best mark so far after really lacking in that department.

This was very encouraging after Manning sustained very impressive high strikeout rates throughout his minor league journey.

The A’s feature a solid lineup, but it’s also one that might suffer, even if just a bit, from being west-coast residents playing a 1:10 p.m. ET contest, which translates to an early-morning bout by the Bay. We’ll take any extra advantage for a youngster like Manning opposite a playoff contender.

The key to this bet is Montas continuing to roll. Manning may also be in the process of hitting his stride, meaning as long as the likelier scenario of him not getting rocked plays out, a low score seems right.

Pick: UNDER 9 (-115)

Leans

Indians-Royals: Under 9
Braves-Rockies: Over 12.5

2021 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: “71-62-9,” +1.49 units

Yesterday’s Result: Padres-Diamondbacks Under 9 (loss)

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

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Matt Zylbert
@MattZylbert
Zylbert has been writing about baseball over/under bets for nearly a decade, attaining notable success in just about each season. Throughout the last three years, the veteran gambling analyst has amassed a 307-239-25 (56.2%) record on regular season totals while always recommending to flat bet every game for one unit.
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