Los Angeles Dodgers vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction and Pick

Lead MLB analyst Jason Radowitz previews today's game between the Dodgers and Cardinals
Jason Radowitz
Mon, September 6, 10:32 AM EDT

Los Angeles Dodgers vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction and Pick

Los Angeles Dodgers vs St Louis Cardinals Probable Pitchers

  • Dodgers: Max Scherzer (12-4, 2.40 ERA)
  • Cardinals: Miles Mikolas (0-1, 4.41 ERA)

Click here to see the betting odds for the Dodgers @ Cardinals.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction

With Labor Day, there will be plenty of day games for your enjoyment. The Dodgers will travel to St. Louis for their day game, which is set for 4:15pm EST.

It’s going to be hard for the Cardinals to score against Dodgers ace Max Scherzer but after an underwhelming offensive performance last night against the Giants, can the Dodgers rebound?

Miles Mikolas will take the mound for the Cardinals. He’s been out for most of the year but since returning he has thrown in three starts and has allowed seven runs in just 12.1 innings.

In those three games, he’s got a 4.72 xFIP along with just a 19.3 percent strikeout rate along with 36.6 percent ground balls and 31.7 percent line drive contact.

You never want to give up this much line drive contact to the Dodgers. Recently, the Dodgers have struggled putting the ball in play consistently and haven’t looked all that comfortable at the plate. But we all know the Dodgers could hit for power and hit plenty of line drives when they're clicking.

Mikolas has faced 37 lefties since returning to the mound. With those 37 batters, he’s allowed a wOBA of .386 and ISO of .194. The strikeouts are low and walks are high to lefties.

However, so far, he’s done well against righties, allowing just a .235 wOBA and ISO of .050 in 20 at-bats. Still, the line drive rate is creeping up from righties as well.

Mikolas just allowed five hits and four runs in his last start against the Reds. The Cardinals gave him the lead early but he couldn’t hold it. He lasted just 55 pitches and hasn’t thrown more than 84 pitches in a start this season.

The Dodgers offense will have at least three lefties in the lineup and depending on what they decide, could have more. Max Muncy has a .316 ISO while Corey Seager and Cody Bellinger have above average ISO’s as well. Either three of those can go yard at any given time against Mikolas.

The middle of the Dodgers order has been patient and will work out walks when given the opportunity. They’re also hitting just 35.4 percent ground balls, which again, factors into how many line drives we’ll likely see today from the Dodgers.

Therefore, I’ll roll with the Dodgers to score three runs in the first five innings. At PointsBet, they’re giving that two number at -135. If the Dodgers only score two runs in the first five innings, it’s a push. If they score three? It’s a win.

I'm always much more comfortable with these lines knowing you have insurance if they don’t get to three. However, of course I still believe we’ll get three or more from this offense in the first five innings.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction: Dodgers Over 2 F5 TT (-135) at PointsBet

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