Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Prediction and Pick

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlin's prediction and pick for Wednesday's game in D.C. from MLB handicapper Matt Zylbert. Which side of the total is Matt on?
Matt Zylbert
Wed, September 15, 8:11 AM EDT

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Prediction and Pick

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins

Over/Under: 9

First Pitch: 1:05 p.m. ET

Probable Pitchers: Trevor Rogers (7-7, 2.73 ERA) vs. Josh Rogers (1-0, 3.65 ERA)

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Prediction

Nationals vs. Marlins Odds

Not many totals as high as 9 get thrown around when the All-Star Rogers pitches.

For this instance, he’s making his third start back from injury after churning out mixed results in the first two, including his last time out, where he allowed more than three runs in a start for the first time this year. That’s really remarkably impressive.

Though he is coming off such an uncharacteristic outing, we’ll try to use that to our advantage of potentially catching him back on the upswing. The most important thing to me was that he amassed six strikeouts, his most in five turns, which could indicate the strikeout artist is about to return to form.

He’s also about to face a getaway-day-game version of the Nationals lineup. So what are the odds he yields more than three runs twice in a row in this spot? Just another simple quality start would suffice.

As for the counterpart today, Rogers, he’s been steady in his return to MLB.

The former Baltimore Oriole hadn’t pitched at the big-league level since 2019, but he’s exhibiting that he should’ve been here all along. Though it’s been only a pair of assignments, Rogers relatively shined in both, coming just one out short of registering a quality start in each one.

Seeking a third straight solid performance, I like Rogers’ chances of keeping it going. The Fish rank dead last in the National League in team OPS opposite southpaws. Additionally, the club’s .231 batting average ranks second from the bottom. And no Jazz Chisholm.

That’s a high number bestowed upon this matchup. Both starters are providing typical work figures to pace a lower-scoring bout.

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Pick:

UNDER 9 (-115)

Leans

Reds-Pirates Under 9
Diamondbacks-Dodgers Under 8

2021 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: “79-67-9,” +4.11 units

Yesterday’s Result: Indians-Twins Under 6 - Game 1 (WIN)

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

Matt Zylbert
@MattZylbert
Zylbert has been writing about baseball over/under bets for nearly a decade, attaining notable success in just about each season. Throughout the last three years, the veteran gambling analyst has amassed a 307-239-25 (56.2%) record on regular season totals while always recommending to flat bet every game for one unit.
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