Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction and Pick
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction and Pick
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers
Over/Under: 7.5
First pitch: 7:15 p.m. ET
TV: FOX (in some parts of country)
Probable pitchers: Justin Steele (3-3, 4.17 ERA) vs. Corbin Burnes (10-4, 2.25 ERA)
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Ah, now Burnes is getting the respect he deserves based on how he’s carried Steele to a relatively low over/under of 7.5.
It’s well deserved, of course, especially after Burnes’ latest masterpiece in which he fired (eight innings worth of) a no-hitter against the Indians (and in their ballpark).
I’ve been raving about the Saint Mary’s product all year and he’ll be in a very comfortable spot tonight to continue his National League Cy Young journey, being matched up against a club whom he’s dominated throughout the campaign.
Though it was only two meetings, Burnes couldn’t have been better, with one seeing the right-hander log a career-high 15 K’s. He also yielded only six baserunners total while collectively punching out 25 batters across 14 innings compared to zero walks.
This deflated total is also a testament to what Steele has shown in his rookie campaign. Following successful work out of the bullpen (followed by a stint at Triple-A to be stretched out, where he was also effective), the 2014 5th-round draft pick has continued to shine as a starter.
Steele is getting set to make his seventh start after providing mostly solid-as-steel work in the first six. His inaugural assignment actually came against these Brewers, whom Steele did a fine job against in limiting the NL Central leaders to three runs across five frames. Something here which closely resembles that performance would gladly be taken.
Fortunately for the left-hander, this offense is one that isn’t as tough on southpaws. In fact, Milwaukee’s .236 team batting average opposite lefties ranks sixth-lowest in the Major Leagues.
Additionally, the Brew Crew strikes out at a frequent rate with a southpaw on the hill, retiring via the K once every 3.6 AB’s.
Burnes will be pacing this bet all the way. Just a decent showing from Steele will do.
Pick: UNDER 7.5 (-113)
Leans
Mariners-Royals Under 9
2021 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: “81-68-9,” +4.96 units
Yesterday’s Result: Phillies-Mets Under 7.5 (WIN)
*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit