Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants Game 3 Prediction and Pick
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants Game 3 Probable Pitchers
- Giants: Alex Wood (10-4, 3.83 ERA)
- Dodgers: Max Scherzer (15-4, 2.46 ERA)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants Game 3 Prediction
The Giants and Dodgers are all tied up in the NLDS, 1-1, in a five-game series. The Dodgers will send out Max Scherzer, who has an underwhelming performance in the Wild Card game that eventually led to a win for the Dodgers.
Meanwhile, the Giants will pitch left-hander Alex Wood who hasn’t started a game since September 29. However, in his last three starts, Wood went 13 innings and allowed just two runs with no walks and 17 strikeouts. He was ultimately in postseason form in September.
However, against the Dodgers roster, Wood has allowed ten home runs and a .276 average. You can go down the list of the lineup for the Dodgers, and ultimately, every single player will have an extra-base hit against him for their careers.
Trea Turner has a double, Justin Turner has two home runs, Chris Taylor has two doubles, Steven Souza Jr. even has two home runs, Albert Pujols has a home run and double, Mookie Betts has a double and a triple.
You get the point. There’s reason to believe the Dodgers can score some runs against Wood, despite his previous shutdown innings in September.
In the last 30 days, Wood has had a 2.11 xFIP with a strikeout rate of 33.3 percent. He’s been locked in, but it’s going to be hard to rack up strikeouts against this Dodgers lineup that strikes out just 6.8 percent of the time against lefties in the last 30 days, based on about 14 plate appearances per batter.
The Dodgers are actually walking slightly more in comparison to their strikeouts and have a .366 wOBA with a .245 ISO against lefties.
Only Albert Pujols has been struggling to put the ball in play against lefties recently, and that’s going to help this Dodgers lineup put some runs on the board like last game.
On the other hand, Max Scherzer will take the hill, and while he’s struggled lately in the box score, he hasn’t been all that bad. Scherzer is still limiting line drives to just 20 percent and giving up only 35.7 percent hard contact in the last 30 days. Lefties have some power against Scherzer, but the Giants lineup has really struggled against Scherzer with a .134 average in 104 at-bats.
I’m looking at taking the Dodgers -.5 in the first five innings against the Giants. I like Scherzer, and while he has struggled lately, strikeouts are still high enough, and walks are still low enough in the last 30 days. I believe he’ll get his composure back, settle in, and have a very solid night where he might not allow a single run.
On the other hand, the Dodgers have a lineup that has had legitimate success against Wood, despite his recent dominance. So let’s roll with the Dodgers in the first five tonight