Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers NLCS Game 6 Prediction and Pick
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers NLCS Game 6 Probable Pitchers
- Dodgers: Likely Bullpen Game
- Braves: Ian Anderson (9-5, 3.58 ERA)
First Pitch: 8:08 p.m. ET
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers NLCS Game 6 Prediction
The Atlanta Braves will look to close out the NLCS with a win, at home, against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday Night. There are plenty of exciting college football games tonight, but there’s nothing more exciting than playoff baseball. Check your priorities!!
Anyway, Ian Anderson will take the hill for the Braves. He’s been inconsistent throughout his career, but in the postseason, he turns it up a notch. Anderson threw 18.2 innings of work in last year’s postseason and finished with a .96 ERA.
This year, in two starts, he’s got a 2.25 ERA in eight innings of work. But despite a really good ERA, Anderson hasn’t been all that analytically. He’s got an xFIP of 4.84 with 17.2 percent strikeouts, and 10.3 percent walks in the last 30 days. His command is always very poor, and those walks can get him in trouble quickly. However, he’s been lucky due to the fact that he has a BABIP of .179 in his last 30 days.
In the Dodgers lineup, they’ve got plenty of power and a high wOBA against righties. Corey Seager, Cody Bellinger, and A.J. Pollock have been the more consistent batters in the lineup against righties.
Seager has a .518 ISO and wOBA of .490 in his last 63 plate appearances against righties.
Meanwhile, Bellinger has a .233 ISO and wOBA of .375 in his last 33 plate appearances against righties.
Lastly, Pollock has an ISO of .389 and wOBA of .449 in the last 42 plate appearances against righties.
However, the Dodgers have struck out nearly 21 percent of the time against righties in the last 30 days. This is not including the pitcher’s spot. Usually, the pitcher’s spot is an easy target for strikeouts; however, if the Dodgers go with a bullpen game, Anderson might not see a pitcher at-bat. Either way, guys that pinch-hit usually try to do too much and strikeout anyway as a result.
Anderson walked three and only struck out two batters in his last time against the Dodgers on Sunday. However, back on June 4, he faced the Dodgers in just 4.1 innings and allowed four runs but still struck out six, even while walking three.
The right-hander is very capable of achieving at least four strikeouts in this game. The Braves can be a bit more relaxed knowing there’s always tomorrow if they can get the win today. The leash will be short for every pitcher, but for Anderson, it could wait maybe an innings later in comparison to Los Angeles’ situation.
Let’s take Anderson Over 3.5 strikeouts at -108. I like Anderson to get through five innings. If he’s able to do that, he’ll get at least four strikeouts in this game. He’s just gotta throw more strikes and stop falling behind batters! I think he’ll make the adjustments in today’s game, however.
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers NLCS Game 6 Pick
- Ian Anderson Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-108) - FanDuel