Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves World Series Game 2 Prediction and Pick
When: Wednesday, October 27, 2021 – 8:09 pm EST
Where to Watch: FOX
Astros vs Braves World Series Game 2 Probable Pitchers:
- Braves: Max Fried (14-7 3.04 ERA)
- Astros: Jose Urquidy (8-3, 3.62 ERA)
Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves World Series Game 2 Prediction
The Atlanta Braves look unstoppable right now. After a 6-2 win against the Astros in Game 1 of the World Series, the Braves are now in the driver’s seat. Just like that. However, the Braves lost ace pitcher Charlie Morton for the rest of the World Series due to a fractured fibula after he had been hit by a comebacker. Morton tried to shake it off and actually produced three outs after the incident took place. The Braves are going to need to find depth in their starting rotation. For now, they’ve got Max Fried tonight and Ian Anderson in the following game. We’ll see what the Braves decide to do moving forward.
Meanwhile, the Astros already lost Lance McCullers Jr. to an injury. Therefore, nobody is feeling sorry. At this point, it’s basically even again when it comes to the starting rotation. Max Fried has an xFIP of 2.28 in the last 30 days with 24.2 percent strikeouts, and just 2.1 percent walks. He’s inducing ground balls at 57.9 percent and limiting line drives to just above 10 percent. The Astros lineup, on the other hand, is hitting 50.1 percent ground balls in that same time frame but has also smacked 28.4 percent line drives. There’s a lot of inconsistency in this Astros lineup with players that have just been rally killers against lefties in the postseason.
Houston will pitch Jose Urquidy, who has a 5.55 xFIP in the last 30 days, along with just 17.2 percent strikeouts. He doesn’t have the stuff to get grounders and can’t tally strikeouts at a high rate. Those are not good qualities when going up against the Braves. Against righties, in the last 30 days, the Braves lineup is hitting 27 percent line drives but also striking out 26.7 percent of the time. Basically, if the Braves are able to put the ball in play and not strikeout, Atlanta is going to get plenty of hits and run around the bases. With Urquidy struggling to get a high amount of strikeouts, the Braves should be able to put the ball in play and hit some line drives and fly balls that potentially find the seats. Urquidy had just one postseason start this year against the Red Sox on October 18 and allowed five hits and six runs in 1.2 innings while throwing 57 pitches. He also struck out just one batter with those 57 pitches.
That’s why I’ll take the Braves, on the road, as an underdog again. We hit with the Braves yesterday, and the truth is, they’re the better team. They’ve got the better pitching staff and the more consistent lineup. Look out for lefty sluggers Eddie Rosario and Joc Pederson, who have both hit right-handed pitching well this season. Urquidy has a wOBA of .367 and ISO of .370 in his last 30 plate appearances against lefties. Also, Austin Riley has plenty of power against righties with a .250 ISO. He could be in for a huge day as well. Take the Braves as a small underdog in Game 2 and watch the Braves travel home with a 2-0 lead. By then, it’ll be panic time for the Astros.