World Series Game 2 Prop Picks: Houston Astros vs. Atlanta Braves

MLB expert Jason Radowitz has a breakdown of his three favorite player prop picks for Game 2 of the World Series between the Houston Astros and Atlanta Braves.
Jason Radowitz
Wed, October 27, 5:04 AM EDT

World Series Game 2 Prop Picks: Houston Astros vs. Atlanta Braves

When: Wednesday, October 27, 2021 – 8:09 pm EST

Where to Watch: FOX

Click Here For Astros vs. Braves - World Series Game 2 Odds

The Braves knocked 12 hits, scored six runs, and smacked four extra-base hits in a win against the Astros in Game 1 of the World Series, 6-2. The Braves offense is looking fantastic, and the pitching depth for Atlanta is starting to show. Atlanta lost ace pitcher Charlie Morton in the third inning to a fractured fibula after he was hit by a comebacker in the second inning. Losing Morton absolutely hurts the Braves rotation depth, but the Astros already have Lance McCullers Jr. out, so it evens out for the most part. In Game 2, the Braves will pitch left-handed ace Max Fried while the Astros will call on Jose Urquidy to get the job done. On paper, this is one of the largest mismatches you’ll see in the World Series. Yet, the Braves are still underdogs. Here are some props to consider for World Series Game 2. Braves vs. Astros World Series.

Astros vs. Braves World Series Game 2 Prop Bets

Braves Over 3.5 Team Total (-140)

The Braves are red hot at the plate right now. As explained above, Atlanta slugged 12 hits with two home runs, two doubles, and plenty of runs (6). Against righties, the Braves lineup is hitting 27 percent line drives while striking out 26.7 percent of the time in the last 30 days. Basically, if the Braves put the ball in play, good things happen. The lineup had a BABIP of .325 against righties in that same time frame. Jose Urquidy, on the other hand, has an xFIP of 5.55 with just 17.2 percent strikeouts in those same 30 days. He’s not allowing a ton of line drives and isn’t inducing many ground balls. He’s giving up many fly balls, and those fly balls can absolutely still fly out of the stadium. If the Braves put the ball in play often against Urquidy, they’ll find a way to score at least four runs.

Joc Pederson Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)

Pederson is hitting a .441 ISO and wOBA of .465 in his last 38 plate appearances against righties. That’s a solid sample size to prove that he’s just absolutely smashed right-handed pitching. The left-handed slugger is also hitting just 37.5 percent ground balls, and 25 percent line drives in that same time frame and looks absolutely locked in at the plate, especially against righties.  Meanwhile, Urquidy is allowing a wOBA of .367 and ISO of .370 in his last 30 plate appearances against left-handed batters. He’s also striking lefties out just 13.3 percent in the last 30 days and has kept walks down to just 6.7 percent, which is good to know for total base props.

Max Fried Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-140)

I’m not the biggest fan of taking strikeout props in postseason baseball, but this number is just too good to pass up. Fried is striking out 24.2 percent of batters and has limited walks to just 2.1 percent. He’s getting ahead of batters and attacking them, either inducing ground balls or getting strikeouts. With the Braves having to use their entire bullpen yesterday due to Morton’s early exit, Fried will more than likely go six innings in this game. Remember, Fried threw 15 quality starts before his last outing against the Dodgers. If he goes six innings, Fried is going to get four strikeouts. Michael Brantley, Yordan Alvarez, Kyle Tucker, and Martin Maldonado have all struck out at a high rate against lefties in the last 30 days. If Fried gets each one of them to strikeout, he’ll cash this ticket.

Astros vs. Braves Prop Picks

  • Braves Over 3.5 Team Total (-140)
  • Joc Pederson Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)
  • Max Fried Over 3.5 K’s (-140)
Jason Radowitz
@Jason_Radowitz
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.
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