World Series Game 4 Prop Picks: Houston Astros vs. Atlanta Braves
Last night was not baseball weather. It was everything but, however, as we approach late October and early November, the weather isn’t going to be our friend. It was fun betting games at 90 degrees with wind blowing out to center field and the humidity high.
All that is gone. It’s about to be November. We saw the weather play out as a factor last night when the Braves won 2-0 on a cold and rainy night in Atlanta. The Braves shut down the Astros through nine and no-hit them through seven.
The Astros were playing to the over almost every night, but Houston also wasn’t used to playing in weird weather because Minute Maid Park has a roof. Advantage Braves.
Astros vs Braves World Series Game 4 Prop Bets
Most Hits: Albies vs Alvarez: Alvarez (-120) via DraftKings
We don’t even know who is going to start for the Braves at this time, but what we do know is how great Alvarez has been this postseason. Against righties, he has a .367 wOBA and an ISO of .493 in the last 30 days with 50 percent line drives and just 10 percent ground balls.
Meanwhile, Albies has a .146 ISO and wOBA of .284 in that same time frame against righties. That .284 wOBA is concerning for a guy batting in the three spot.
Albies is also 1-for-9 against Greinke for his career with three strikeouts and an OPS of .222.
Eddie Rosario Under .5 Strikeouts (-105) via DraftKings
Eddie Rosario has a .271 ISO and wOBA of .442 against righties in his last 52 plate appearances. What stands out even more is that he’s only struck out 9.6 percent of the time against righties in that same time frame.
He’ll go up against Greinke, who has struck out just 16.7 percent of batters in the last 30 days. Against lefties, in that same time frame, he struck out just 7.7 percent of batters.
Rosario struck out the last game on a check swing to start the bottom of the first. He got his one strikeout out of the way. Now he’s going to stay patient and slug away.
No Runs First Inning (-105) via DraftKings
If you’re going to have fun with the NRFI craze, this is a good spot. The Braves will start with an opener, hoping he’s able to get through the first inning. Meanwhile, Greinke will have to face Rosario but after Rosari, he gets a bit of a breather against Freddie Freeman and Ozzie Albies, who have both struggled to hit for power against right-handed pitching.
With potential spotty showers early, don’t expect some early runs. Advantage pitchers.
Astros vs Braves Prop Picks
Alvarez More Hits Player Matchup (-120)
Rosario Under .5 Strikeouts (-105)