World Series Game 6 Prop Picks: Houston Astros vs. Atlanta Braves

MLB expert Jason Radowitz has a breakdown of his three favorite prop picks for Game 6 of the World Series between the Houston Astros and Atlanta Braves.
Jason Radowitz
Tue, November 2, 6:07 AM EDT

World Series Game 6 Prop Picks: Houston Astros vs. Atlanta Braves

When: Tuesday, November 2, 2021 - 8:09 pm EST Minute Maid Park

Where to Watch: Fox

Astros vs. Braves - World Series Game 6 Odds

The Astros stunned the Braves in Game 5 with a 9-5 victory to force Game of the World Series. In Game 5, the Braves had one chance to clinch the World Series at home, up 3-1 in the series, but fell short, even after going up 4-0 in the first inning.

With terrible starting pitching throughout the postseason, for the most part, prop bets have been extremely fun and profitable throughout the postseason if you’re taking overs for hits, total bases, and home runs.

With Max Fried taking the hill for the Braves and Luis Garcia on the mound for the Astros, we have added a few props that we love for World Series Game 6 between the Braves and the Astros.

Astros vs. Braves World Series Game 6 Prop Bets

Atlanta Braves Over 3.5 Team Total (-143) - FoxBet

The Braves are the definition of boom or bust this postseason. They’re striking out 27.8 percent as a projected lineup but also hitting 43 percent of line drives while only hitting 25.7 percent ground balls.  Basically, when the Braves make contact, good things happen as they also have a BABIP of .322 in that same time frame.

Going up against Luis Garcia means guys will get on base via the walk. When guys are on base, if Garcia makes one mistake, he’ll pay for it as the Braves have so much power in their lineup. Every single batter in the lineup has a home run in the postseason and some have them in big, clutch spots. Therefore, I like the Braves to score at least four runs in tonight’s game against Garcia and the Astros.

Garcia vs Fried: Fewest Walks Allowed: Fried (+110) - DraftKings

Max Fried has three walks in the postseason through 21.2 innings pitched. Meanwhile, Luis Garcia has 11 walks in just 13 innings pitched. Yet, Fried is an underdog in this bet. It’s likely due to the fact that oddsmakers expect Fried to go deeper in this game. That’s ultimately fair, but at the end of the day, if Garcia is exiting the game early, it means he lost his command and likely walked three or more batters in the start.

Garcia walked four batters in 3.2 innings against the Braves in his first game against them and should have the same poor command again tonight. The Braves know to be patient and while they’re going to strikeout some, if they stay patient and make Garcia work, he’ll absolutely walk some batters.

Max Fried Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-155) - DraftKings

The Braves aren’t going to sit here and rely on their bullpen to win them a World Series. It’s in the hands of Max Fried and they’re hoping for a quality start from Fried, where he can go six innings and dominate.

Against the Astros in his first start, Fried allowed seven hits and six runs but struck out six while walking one. He also induced 10 ground balls to six fly balls and got extremely unlucky with those ground balls becoming hits. If he does exactly the same as his first start, the results are going to be better for Fried. Of course, six strikeouts will also be enough to cash this over ticket.

Astros vs. Braves World Series Game 6 Prop Picks

  • Braves Over 3.5 Team Total (-143)
  • Max Fried Fewer Walks (+110)
  • Max Fried Over 3.5 K’s (-155)

Astros vs. Braves - World Series Game 6 Odds

Jason Radowitz
@Jason_Radowitz
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.
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