Odds format
United States
Share to Facebook
Share to Twitter
Copy Link
For the New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox one play stands out. Here's a number that is just too low

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction: A Number Just Too Low

One of my favorite players is seeking revenge in one of my favorite rivalries, I’m still fading him. I have to bet with my brain and not my heart.

For the return of MLB, DraftKings is giving new users $200 if they bet just $5 on ANY MLB moneyline. Click here to claim this amazing offer or hit 'CLAIM NOW' below!

Error fetching data.

1u - Gerrit Cole o3.5 hits allowed (-150) (Bet $150 to win $100)

Gerrit Cole is so good. I hate having to do this to him but this number is just too dang low. Cole will be highly motivated to get revenge on Boston after last year's playoff elimination. Even with that, I think giving up just four hits is so easy. There are rumors that Cole has an undisclosed pitch count but we’ve seen him throw nearly 70 in Spring Training. Even his pitch count is 75 I think he could easily allow four hits to Boston’s hard-hitting lineup.

Bet up to $1,000 RISK FREE with FanDuel

Cole has given up 4+ hits to Boston in all 10 of his career starts and in 26 of 31 games last season if you include the playoff game. These hit rates are absolutely absurd and worth paying the juice for. Even if Cole has a pitch limit I think he could talk Aaron Boone into letting him exceed the number. A rivalry game on opening day to get revenge, he will wanna stay out there. The longer he stays out there, the more potential hits allowed. The first lean was Cole strikeouts today but gut tells me that play will be the Corbin Burnes play of today, where it feels too good to be true because it is.

Cole has allowed 4+ hits to Red Sox in all five starts last year. He even allowed four hits in 50 pitches to them in the wildcard game. In the regular season he allowed no less than five hits and an average of 6.25 hits allowed. Only needing four here feels so low. I know drinking the juice isn’t fun but early in the year is when the sportsbooks are at their most vulnerable so we need to attack these bad lines. I will happily live with whatever the result is here. This prop had a 84% hit rate last year and was five for five against Boston, this bet is the no brainer of the day.

Error fetching data.

Article Author


Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.


Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.