Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction: Are the Twins in Line for an Offensive Break Out?
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction: Are the Twins in Line for an Offensive Break Out?
Many bettors prefer to back unders in early season Major League Baseball games. They usually cite colder weather, and the fact that hitters do not have their timing down from a shortened spring training will lead to lower scoring games. That logic made those bettors quite a bit of money yesterday, as unders went 13-1-1 on the 15-game slate.
Through two games, the Seattle Mariners and Minnesota Twins have also played two low-scoring games (2-1 and 4-3). Reigning Cy Young Award winner Robbie Ray looked in midseason form on Opening Day, and Logan Gilbert continued the momentum from last September when he pitched to a 2.70 ERA in his first start of the season this year.
So will we continue to back this trend of unders that has seemed widespread in baseball, especially in this Mariners and Twins series?
Twins vs. Mariners Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: April 10, 2022
- Game Time: 2:10 pm ET
- Where to Watch: MLB.TV
Click Here for Twins vs Mariners Odds
Twins vs. Mariners Line Movement
Twins vs. Mariners Prediction
While the same cannot be said of many warm climate games, one of the biggest reasons for the two Seattle-Minnesota games staying under the projected total has been frigid temperatures. On Thursday, their season opener was pushed back to Friday because of snow and precipitation, but it did not warm up much the next day despite staying dry. However, today’s game will be close to 60 degrees, which will feel much different from the conditions they have played in the last two days.
Last year, the Twins ranked in the bottom half of the league in batting average, OBP, and OPS against left-handed pitching. Those same problems manifested themselves against Robbie Ray on Opening Day when they managed just three hits (one a Gio Urshela solo home run). However, Minnesota added Ursehla, Gary Sanchez, and Carlos Correa in the offseason. Thus, one would think their rankings in the three major batting categories against lefties will be much better by the end of the season.
Today they face Marco Gonzales, who pitched to a 3.96 ERA last year and is not nearly as talented as Ray. With another lefty on the mound and with the weather warming up, we expect this to be a break-out game for Minnesota offensively. Conversely, no current Mariners hitter has had more than two career at-bats off the young Bailey Ober (3-3, 4.19 ERA last year), and we expect that to work to his advantage in the early innings.
Minnesota’s offense had chances to build a comfortable lead early in yesterday’s loss, as they stranded four runners in the first two innings. In addition, they created traffic on the basepaths against Ray on Friday, drawing four walks in addition to their three hits. Thus, we look for the Twins’ right-handed dominant lineup to finally break through for some big innings against lefty Marco Gonzales en route to their first win of the season.
Twins vs. Mariners Picks
- Twins ML (-145) (Bet $145 to Win $100)
- Twins Team Total Over 4.5 Runs (-115) (Bet $115 to Win $100)