Baltimore Orioles vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction: Can the Orioles Get in the Win Column?
Baltimore Orioles vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction: Can the Orioles Get in the Win Column?
The Baltimore Orioles have started the season 0-3. It was expected but it's still a shame to see the Orioles not really helping themselves. In the off-season, the Orioles didn't even bother to try and improve. Therefore, Baltimore will sit at the bottom of the standings for another season in the American League.
Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Brewers have heavy expectations of making the playoffs and winning games in the playoffs. Which team would you rather back? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Monday's game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Baltimore Orioles.
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Orioles vs. Brewers Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: April 11, 2022
- Game Time: 3:05 pm ET
- Where to Watch: MASN, BSWI
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Orioles vs. Brewers Injury Report
Brewers
Out: C Pedro Severino (Suspension), 3B Luis Urias (Quadriceps)
Orioles
Out: OF Shed Long (Lower Leg), C Adley Rutschman (Triceps), OF Heston Kjerstad (Hamstring)
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Orioles vs. Brewers Line Movement
Orioles vs. Brewers Prediction
The Milwaukee Brewers added some power into their lineup from the right side this off-season. With the additions of Andrew McCutchen, Hunter Renfroe, and Mike Brosseau, the Brewers are dangerous against left-handed pitching.
Today, the Brewers will take on Bruce Zimmerman, who had a 4.80 xFIP last season with just 19.6% strikeouts and 7.7% walks. Zimmerman also gave up 26.5% line drives and induced just 40.7% ground balls on the year, last season.
Zimmerman mainly faced righties and when he did, he allowed a .348 wOBA and ISO of .200. Lefties also hit a .386 wOBA and ISO of .208. Zimmerman wasn't fooling anyone last season.
The Brewers' projected lineup hit just 37.8% ground balls last season and hit 23.6% line drives. The ISO numbers and wOBA were average and strikeouts were high for this group, but overall, if Milwaukee is able to get ahold of Zimmerman's pitches, Milwaukee will score plenty of runs.
On the other hand, Adrian Houser will get his first start of the season for the Brewers. He finished with a 4.61 xFIP along with just 17.9% strikeouts and 10.7% walks. Houser wasn't all that great last season but he was able to induce 58.7% ground balls and limit line drives to 19.7%.
The Orioles rarely hit ground balls against righties last season. As a projected group, the Orioles only hit 38.7% ground balls. However, Baltimore struggled to make contact, striking out 24.7% of the time last year with the projected lineup.
Houser struggled a bit more against lefties but overall doesn't have a put-away pitch that he can use to get big outs.
There will be runs scored in this game. With winds blowing out 10 mph, the over absolutely seems like the play. You just need to hope neither team strikes out often. If balls are in play, all will be good.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick
- Over 9 (-110) (Bet $110 to Win $100)
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Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.