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Jon Hyslop is looking to the San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants for one of his favorite bets. Can we trust Alex Cobb today?
ANALYSIS

San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Best Bet: Can We Trust Alex Cobb?

I could bet MLB every day for the rest of my life. What's not to like about plus moneyline bets every single day of the week? They can be in the middle of the afternoon, early evening or late at night. The MLB doesn't care about our schedules and it's kind of cool. I'm here for it. You can literally be sitting at your desk at work and have action going. I know that soccer gives us that possibly as well but we're talking MLB here. It's just a different kind of sweat.

Especially pitcher strikeout props. You legit only have to pay attention half the time. It's a slacker's dream. I wish I had a daytime move today but I don't. The good news is, these bets work at night too which is lucky for us since there is one in the San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants game tonight. It stinks having to wait until 9:45 pm ET but we're talking plus money here. We can do it.

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San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants

We're at both FanDuel and DraftKings tonight people. The 4.5 is available at FanDuel as well but for only +122. That's chump change when we're getting +125 over a DraftKings. One thing I haven't seen at DK is the escalators so that is where FanDuel comes in. I think 6+ whiffs at +285 is where we want to be.

First of all, Alex Cobb is a decent pitcher that has never really been a "strikeout guy" throughout his career. In fact, he's only stuck out 816 batters in 1010.1 innings pitched in his career. That's really not that good. So why are we targeting him tonight? I'll tell you.

For starters, Cobb is capable of producing decent strikeout games. In his first five starts last season, he struck out at least seven guys in three of them. That includes his first two starts of the season where he fanned seven and then turned around and sat down 10. The guy wants to be a front runner and I respect the hell out of him for it.

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One thing I think will help is that his fastball hit 97 mph this spring. That's crazy. Especially since he started his career as a 90-93 mph guy. He only threw 7.1 innings in the spring but he fanned nine guys. We just saw the Giants let lefty Alex Wood throw 86 pitches last night so if Cobb is given a similar workload, then we have a fighting chance.

Speaking of last night, the Giants' opponent, the Padres, struck out 11 times. Wood was responsible for six of them in only 4.1 innings of work. I know he's a lefty and Cobb is a right-hander but whatever. The Padres have known strikeout artists all up and down their lineup. Will Myers has already stuck out eight times in only 20 at bats. Manny Machado is almost as bad with six strikeouts in 20 at bats. Throw in Luke Voit and Jurickson Profar and now we're cooking with grease. I think Cobb gets at least five of these guys to sit down which makes the six whiff play at FanDuel playable.

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Article Author

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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