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The Philadelphia Phillies travel to the sunshine state to take on the Miami Marlins. John Hyslop breaks down the game and gives his picks.

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction: Can Kyle Gibson Stack Up the K's?

Tonight is all about baseball. There's no NBA and the NHL playoffs haven't started yet. It's pretty much a preview of summer. We can complain about it or we can bet it. Those are the only two options in front of us here people. I don't make the rules. I've decided to bet it. I'm going to forget that we should be watching hours of NBA right now because it's April. There's no need to think about that. Instead, we should focus on the positive and that is the MLB has a decent-sized slate today. On top of that, there are multiple spots where we can bang out plus money moves. I see no reason not to at this point. We can start with this one.

Click Here for Marlins vs Phillies Odds

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Kyle Gibson 6+ Strikeouts (+144) (Bet $100 to win $144)

Kyle Gibson 7+ Strikeouts (+300) (Bet $100 to win $300)

*Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing*

I'm at FanDuel for these and they are really only playable there. PointsBet has escalators but they want -125 for 6+ which is insane. If you can't make moves at FanDuel, then DraftKings is probably where you want to go because they have 4.5 at -145. That is far from ideal but sometimes we have to do what we have to do. Life isn't always fair but you can always get action if you need it.

The thing is, if Gibson gets five then I bet he gets six. If that happens then our run at seven is done with house money. I like that. Gibson whiffed 10 guys in his first start of the season so he is in form. Also going back to last season, he fanned at least six guys in each of his last four starts. He went 7+ in three of those starts. Gibson just might be a strikeout guy after all.

The haters are going to say that Gibson's 10-whiff game came against the Oakland A's. Those hateful bastards are right. It's also only the fourth time in MLB history a pitcher went 7+ IP, no runs, no walks, and 10+ Ks in fewer than 85 pitches. I don't even know how you find a stat like that but I saw it on Twitter so you know it's legit. I bet the haters are even going to say that backing a pitcher after a "historic game" like that is dumb too. Pay them no mind.

Gibson gets the Marlins this evening and that's a good thing. They don't strike out quite as much as the A's but they strike out enough. Patrick Sandoval just took out six of the last game and he's not really even a strikeout guy. I know he's whiffed 13 in a game before but he has some duds under his belt too. If you don't like Sandoval, what about Michael Lorenzen? He just sat down seven of those Marlins in his start a few days ago. There's no excuse for that. At the end of the day, this is a good price for 6+ and the upside is there given the circumstances.

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Article Author


John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.


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