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Handicapper Joey Ruiz is here with his top picks to hit a homerun on Thursday night around MLB. He has his eyes set on two players in the Los Angeles Dodgers and Cincinnati Reds matchup later tonight.

Thursday's MLB Home Run Best Bets: Will Freddie Freeman Find Some Pop?

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Freddie Freeman +400 (Bet $100 to Win $400)

The first homerun prop I am rolling with tonight is going to be Freddie Freeman at +400. Freeman is one of the best pure hitters in the league and doesn't always swing for the fences with an all-or-nothing approach but I really like the value on him to hit his first homer of the season tonight. It looks like the Reds may be going with a bullpen game approach for this game as Luis Cessa is listed as the starter, but Cessa is a very hard-throwing right-handed pitcher that I think plays right into Freeman's strengths.

Freeman loves to go the opposite way and has hit more homers to Center and Left than I can count. Not too many guys have the same type of power to the opposite field as Freeman and I think that comes into play against a high 90s flamethrower like Cessa. If he leaves a fastball out over the plate, Freeman will gladly go with it and drive it the other way into the Left Field seats, and I like the value on him to do just that tonight at +400.

Tyler Naquin +500 (Bet $100 to Win $500)

The second homerun prop I am rolling with for this game is Tyler Naquin for the Reds at +500. Naquin is a very solid and pure hitter who doesn't always go for the long ball, but he has been swinging a hot bat. I think this is very good value on him. Naquin is hitting .389 on the young season to this point and absolutely destroyed his first homerun a few games ago in a tough Left on Left matchup on a 100 MPH fastball so I am not worried about him hitting plus-stuff. Buehler is a very good pitcher and one of the best in the league but did allow significantly more homeruns at home than on the road last season and I think he will give up at least one tonight, so I am hoping it comes from Naquin.

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Article Author


Joey has spent the last 6+ years betting on sports with a focus on basketball and baseball. Basketball is his main focus, and not many people know more about mid-major basketball than him. Whether you need advice on a Saturday night primetime game or a Tuesday night back-alley SWAC/MEAC game, Joey is your man.


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