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MLB player prop pick and prediction for the San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves game Friday night. Player prop specialist John Hyslop is here with his top MLB player prop bet with his eyes set on Padres starter MacKenzie Gore.
ANALYSIS

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction: Let's Welcome MacKenzie Gore to the Show

This post is a little late because I've been crunching numbers all day. When I wasn't crunching the numbers I was icing my arm. If you're wondering why I'd be icing my arm, it's because I bowled a 299 last night. I wasn't even going to bring it up since it has nothing to do with gambling but I feel like I have to let the people know why I was icing my arm. It's just not a normal thing to do. Unless you threw a 299 the night before then it makes perfect sense. Another thing that makes sense to do after throwing a 299 is gambling. Obviously, the NBA is back tonight so there's that and I do have a play on the Sharp Bets Today show so tune in for that. Still, we need strikeout action. We just do. Lucky for us, one new strikeout guy is making his debut tonight and I think he has a shot at glory. Not 299 glory but glory nonetheless.

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MacKenzie Gore Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+120) (Bet $100 to in $120)

*Odds Available at DraftKings at Time of Publishing*

This one is hanging at DraftKings as we speak. FanDuel has 4.5 for +108 which isn't terrible but I'd rather the +120. As for BetMGM and Barstool, neither has a line for this kid. It's his Major League debut for Christ's sake. At least give him a line. It should be noted that Barstool has Kyle Wright (Braves) at 3.5 for -152 in this same game which is not too shabby since he should strike out at least four guys. Still, I hate -152. Even when I think it's going to win.

If you've never heard of this kid, don't worry. It's fine. You can just watch him tonight. Then for the rest of his career, you can talk about how he won you some coin in his first MLB start. I'm definitely doing that. All you need to know for now is this kid is only 23 years old, he's been in the minors for years now and he's an absolute beast now that he isn't a walk machine anymore. I'd go as far as saying he's a strikeout hunter at this point.

A lot of people think it's crazy to bet a guy in his first start but that's dumb. These guys are going to do whatever they're going to do. Some fold, some don't. I don't think this kid is the kind to fold. He's been around for a while even though this is his first start. Over his last eight minor league starts, he hasn't gone under five in the strikeout department even once. I'm telling you this kid could be for real. Like for real for real.

He's getting the Atlanta Braves tonight which isn't the worst opponent. It's still early but these guys are striking out nine times a game. That's not terrible but it's not good either. The haters are going to say they do well against left-handed pitching and they are kind of right. The thing the haters are forgetting is that the left-handed pitchers they've seen are Patrick Corbin, Josh Rogers, and Reiver Sanmartin. Not trying to be rude but we're taking MacKenzie Gore here people. He's better than all of those guys combined. Maybe even twice as good. I think he fans at least five tonight.

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Article Author

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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