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New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants prediction and best bet by handicapper Ben Rajavuori for the first of a four-game set at Citi Field.

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants Best Bet: Will the Starting Pitching Dominate Early?

MLB article plays have started a nice 7-4 on the young season, and today, we are back with another first-inning play. The Giants continue their road trip and take on the Mets at Citi Field in a four-game series. The Giants have started the year 7-2 thanks to their starting pitching, and the Mets are a similar 7-3, also thanks to their starting pitching. Tonight, Alex Cobb takes the mound for the Giants, and it will be Tylor Megill for the Mets. So what's the best first-inning play for tonight?

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Mets vs. Giants Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: April 18, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: SNY/NBCSBA

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Mets vs. Giants Total Movement

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction

The Giants and Mets have emerged as two of the strongest starting rotations in the young MLB season. The Mets are second in the MLB in runs allowed at 2.2 runs per game, and the Giants are first overall with two runs allowed per game. Alex Cobb and Tylor Megill are both two of the team's strongest starters as well. With just 4.2 combined runs allowed per game, these two teams are combining for less than one run every other inning allowed from their pitchers. The Starters have been fantastic on both sides, and the Mets have only had a few issues with pitching, but that was from their bullpen.

The Giants have allowed a first-inning run in two of their first nine games. The Mets have been next to perfect in the first inning, only allowing one first-inning run in their first ten games.

Alex Cobb was nothing short of exceptional in the first inning in 2021. Cobb went 18 first-innings with only one earned run. Yes, one. He went 17-1 on NRFI's in 2021, and with a clean start this year, he's now 18-1 in his last 19 starts for the NRFI.

Tylor Megill struggled a little more last year, and in 18 starts, he had a 7.0 earned run average in the first inning. However, Megill has started the year incredibly strong and has not allowed a single run over two starts and 10.1 combined innings. Megill pitched two perfect first innings against the Nationals and the Phillies, and the Phillies have a scary top of the order. His stuff has looked nasty. Megill only has a 4% barrel rate over his first ten innings, and his command has been phenomenal. He has zero walks this year.

If the pitching hasn't sold you yet, the weather certainly will. It's going to be a cold, windy night at Citi Field. The wind is blowing in from right at around ten mph, and the temp will be in the mid-40s. Not ideal hitting weather. The pitchers will have some help from mother nature tonight, although it's not like they even needed it.

The last reason I love this one today is because of the book offering the line. I was debating not taking this one today because when I first looked at my usual book, the line on the NRFI was -170, but Fanduel is helping us out and offering -132. In fact, most places I've looked are all offering around -170 and even -175 on a few, but for some reason, Fanduel is giving us a nearly 40-cent gift. I'll take it.

Mets vs. Giants Pick

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Article Author


Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.


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