New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction: Can Tylor Megill Keep His Perfect ERA In Tact?
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction: Can Tylor Megill Keep His Perfect ERA In Tact?
The New York Mets and San Francisco Giants are two of the best teams in baseball. Both teams have seven wins but even if one team gets swept in this new series between the Mets and Giants, the losing team would still have a winning record.
Although the Giants match up well against righties offensively, the total for this game is sitting at just 6.5 at some outlets. Do pitchers Tylor Megill and Alex Cobb really warrant a total of less than seven? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Monday's game between the San Francisco Giants and the New York Mets.
Looking for the best sportsbook offers available in your state? Click here
Mets vs. Giants Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: April 18, 2022
- Game Time: 7:10 pm ET
- Where to Watch: SNY/NBCSBA
Click here for Mets vs. Giants Odds
Mets vs. Giants Injury Report
Giants
Out: 2B Tommy La Stella (Achilles), 3B Evan Longoria (Finger), OF LaMonte Wade (Knee)
Mets
Out: OF Brandon Nimmo (Illness), OF Mark Canha (Illness)
For the return of MLB, DraftKings is giving new users $200 if they bet just $5 on ANY MLB moneyline. Click here to claim this amazing offer!
Mets vs. Giants Total Movement
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction
Cy Young Award favorite, Tylor Megill will get the start after beginning the season with a 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA through two starts. I kid. But in reality, he leads the majors in most categories in the MLB and he’s looking to carry all of that momentum over into this game. Using last year's stats and this year's stats, Megill has a 4.04 xFIP with 26.5% strikeouts and 6.5% walks. He’s done well to keep line drives down and still induces nearly 45% of ground balls.
However, Megill is going to be tested. The Giants have one of the best lineups in baseball, especially against righties if you look back at last year's numbers. The Giants don't have a lineup filled with notable names but the Giants' projected lineup has a .233 ISO and wOBA of .353 with 10.3% walks against righties. The lineup will have high strikeouts but if San Francisco makes contact, things can get interesting quickly.
Dating back to last season, Megill has had his struggles against lefties allowing a .387 wOBA and ISO of .272. However, Megill has been holding righties down so far.
Alex Cobb, on the other hand, will get the call for the Giants. Cobb was a terrific pickup from the Giants, who clearly do their homework. Cobb has a 3.60 xFIP with 25.5% strikeouts dating back to last season. With Cobb, walks can get high at 8.4% but he's also able to limit the damage with Cobb getting 52.7% ground balls.
Only Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, and Eduardo Escobar have legitimate consistent power against righties dating back to last season. Even against the Diamondbacks, the Mets struggled to score consistently early. But bullpens should be in play for both teams by the sixth inning.
With the total for this game sitting at 6.5, I'll take a look at this over. A 4-3 game is enough.
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets Pick
- Over 6.5 @ (-125) (Bet $125 to Win $100)
Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.