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The Boston Red Sox host the Toronto Blue Jays in the final game of a 3-game series this afternoon from Fenway Park. Here is handicapper Jason Radowitz's prediction and best bet for Thursday's game.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction: Can You Expect a Pitcher's Duel Today?

The Boston Red Sox had 10 hits in yesterday's loss. Despite adding 10 hits into the box score, the Red Sox just could not score against the Blue Jays. Today, it's going to be a bit harder. The Red Sox might've lost their opportunity to score a whole lot of runs in this series. Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Thursday's game between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox.

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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Start Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: April 21, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:35 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: NESSN/SNET

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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Injury Report

Red Sox

Questionable: OF J.D. Martinez (Groin), SS Trevor Story (Head) Out: C Kevin Plawecki (Illness), 2B Jonathan Arauz (Illness)

Blue Jays

Questionable: OF George Springer (Forearm) Out: OF Dexter Fowler (Knee), OF Teoscar Hernandez (Oblique), C Danny Jansen (Oblique)

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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Total Movement

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

The Blue Jays will send out prized acquisition, Kevin Gausman, for his third start of the season. This season, Gausman is 0-1 with a 4.22 ERA. Still, he's allowed five runs in 10.2 innings and has been close to earning quality starts in both games. Gausman has also struck out 14 while walking none. So you can see that he's been just fine on the mound.

Dating back to last season, the right-hander has a 3.40 xFIP with 29.7% strikeouts. He’s also walked just 6.4% of batters and continues to keep power numbers down. Gausman will take on a very good Red Sox lineup. At the top of the order, the stack between Kike Hernandez, Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts, Alex Verdugo, and Trevor Story is a bit scary. But Gausman probably won't have to face J.D. Martinez, who is currently injured.

However, as a team, the Red Sox have a .318 wOBA against righties dating back to last year, along with 23.5% strikeouts and 8% walks. Gausman has held this Red Sox roster to a .673 OPS.

For the Red Sox, it'll be Tanner Houck on the mound. Houck has so much potential and could become one of the best pitchers in the Red Sox's rotation this season. He has a 3.42 xFIP along with 28.8% strikeouts dating back to last season and really limits power. The one area of concern is his wOBA to lefties is .301. But that's still below average. We're just nit-picking at this point.

Either way, the Blue Jays will only have one lefty in the lineup and Houck is allowing a .245 wOBA and ISO of .085 through 192 plate appearances dating back to last season against righties.

The Blue Jays have more power in their lineup but overall, neither offense looks all that exciting against the opposing pitcher. So, therefore, let's grab the under nine.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick

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Article Author


Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.


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