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Sometimes when a bet pays once it wants to come back around for a second time and pay again. Let's see if this is a future cash cow or a one-and-done. Here's my best bet for this afternoon's New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians matchup.

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction: Run This Bet Back on Gerrit Cole

Yankees vs. Guardians Start Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: April 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:35 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: YES/MLB.TV

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New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Pick

1u - Gerrit Cole Over 3.5 hits allowed (-150) (Bet $150 to win $100)

*Odds Available at Caesars at Time of Publishing*

The juice here is a bit high but I think it’s worth it. Last time we bet this it was almost a 1st inning cash. Cole can allow 4 hits and still have his best start of the season, we don’t even need him to struggle. Cole has been bad this year, there’s no argument for that. On the other hand, he is still Gerrit Cole and he’s due a good start. I think his best start of the year is today but he could go 6 or 7 innings and allow 4 hits still and it would be a great start. This number is just too low.

I see where the concern lies, his walks last game against Detroit were insane. Walking 5 people in less than 2 innings is absolutely bonkers. I just don’t see that happening again, he should be peppering the strike zone today whether they are for outs or hits. Cleveland has batting .288 vs righties this year and funny enough are also batting .288 on the road. Both of these are much better than their home splits and against lefty splits. Guardians are 2nd in the league in total batting average only trailing the Cubs because of yesterdays 21 run clinic.

The historic stats of these Guardians batters vs Cole don’t present a great case for us but this isn’t the same Cole that we saw in Houston and Pittsburgh. With the way Cole has looked this year I can’t imagine him being his old dominant self. I think he has good baseball left to play, but he has reached his peak. I feel like the only way we lose is if he starts walking everybody again but I just can’t imagine him having two starts in a row with that bad of locating. Going with my “law of averages” mindset here that has luckily been working thus far.

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Article Author


Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.


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