Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction: Can Aaron Nola Find Consistency?
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction: Can Aaron Nola Find Consistency?
The Philadelphia Phillies are currently just 6-9, with many parts of their team struggling to find consistent success. Meanwhile, they'll take on a Milwaukee Brewers team that is searching for their 10th win of the season already.
The Brewers' offense hasn't been all that special this year either, however, the Brewers continue to find ways to win while the Philadelphia Phillies find ways to lose. Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Sunday Night's game on ESPN between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Philadelphia Phillies.
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Phillies vs. Brewers Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: April 24, 2022
- Game Time: 7:08 pm ET
- Where to Watch: ESPN
Click here for Phillies vs Brewers Odds
Phillies vs Brewers Injury Report
Phillies
Questionable: SS Didi Gregorius (Hand)
Out: 2B Scott Kingery (Shoulder), OF Mickey Moniak (Hand)
Brewers
Out: 3B Luis Urias (Quadriceps)
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Phillies vs. Brewers Line Movement
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
The Milwaukee Brewers will send out right-handed pitcher Eric Lauer for tonight's game. Lauer has a 1-0 record with a 3.48 ERA to start the season after throwing 10.1 innings of work. He's allowed four runs, with two being home runs, and has 10 strikeouts with three walks.
If you combine last year and this year, Lauer has a 4.53 xFIP with 8.3% walks. That's a bit below-average stuff for a starter. Lauer doesn’t get a whole lot of grounders and allows just under 24% line drives. What makes him so dominant is that his batting average of balls in play is just .255. That means, when teams are hitting the ball against Lauer, they have an average of .255 when the ball is in play.
While he struggles to earn a whole lot of strikeouts against lefties, the Phillies will likely only have three lefties in the lineup. That's going to be a big factor for Lauer.
Meanwhile, Phillies "ace" pitcher Aaron Nola will take the mound. Nola has been terrible this year per his standards, with a 1-2 record and an ERA of 5.52. Nola has allowed multiple runs in each of his first three starts and has given up at least one home run in every start as well.
We're also starting to see a decrease in his strikeouts, although, we're seeing an increase in ground ball rate as he's getting 25 ground balls to 14 fly balls. Nola, dating back to last year, is giving up a .186 ISO to lefties, however, and the Brewers should have at least five lefties in the lineup. One of those lefties is a power bat in Rowdy Tellez.
Tellez has a .220 ISO against righties dating back to last year and while the Brewers lineup isn’t all that special, there's still more potential in the lineup than the Phillies right now going off of what we've been seeing this year.
I'll rock with the Brewers on the moneyline, for tonight's ESPN game.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick
- Brewers ML (+145) (Bet $100 to Win $145)
Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.