Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction: Is It Time to Start Believing in Seattle?

Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction: Is It Time to Start Believing in Seattle?

I'll be honest. I wasn't sure what to expect out of the Seattle Mariners this year. The Mariners put together an unexpected run in 2021 and added a bunch of news pieces for 2022. But I was still hesitant about backing the Mariners.

Later today, the Mariners will be looking for their 10th win of the season with newly acquired ace pitcher Robbie Ray on the mound. Things are really looking up for the Mariners as they finish the weekend series up against the Kansas City Royals. Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Sunday's game between the Kansas City Royals and Seattle Mariners.

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Mariners vs. Royals Start Time and Where to Watch

• Date: April 24, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 pm ET
• Where to Watch: RSNW/BSKC

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Mariners vs. Royals Injury Report

Royals

Questionable: C Salvador Perez (Hand)

Mariners

Out: OF Mitch Haniger (Illness), OF Kyle Lewis (Knee), C Luis Torrens (Illness), 1B Evan White (Groin)

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Mariners vs. Royals Line Movement

Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction

After putting up 13 runs against the Royals last night, I'm finally a believer in this Mariners offense. Yes, I know, it was against the Kansas City Royals, but the reality is, the Mariners tallied 16 hits in eight innings and are now 9-6 on the season. The Mariners have a solid mix of young players along with older players and it's totally working out for now.

Kansas City will send out Carlos Hernandez, who dating back to last year, has a 5.58 xFIP with 18.7% strikeouts and 11.1% walks. Those stats actually make Hernandez sound better than what he's been this season.

Hernandez has a 7.27 ERA with 14 hits allowed in 8.2 innings through two starts. His WHIP is sitting at 1.96 and he's got one strikeout in 8.2 innings. That's not a typo. The Mariners have plenty of power between Jesse Winker, Eugenio Suarez, and Jarred Kelenic and are obviously hot right now coming off a game with 13 runs and 16 hits in eight innings.

The Mariners are hitting just 41.5% ground balls against righties dating back to last year using the projected lineup and have five batters who have been very good at limiting strikeouts.

On the other hand, Robbie Ray will take the hill for the Mariners. He won the Cy Young last year in the AL and already has two wins this season for Seattle. Dating back to last year, the left-handed pitcher has an xFIP of 3.72 with 30.88% strikeouts and 7% walks. Because he's been able to limit the walks, batters are having a very hard time against Ray.

The Royals lineup has a .153 and wOBA of .317 with just 6.3% walks against lefties dating back to last year. Ray does allow a little bit of power to righties, however, so that's something to keep an eye on. A righty like Salvador Perez (if he's in the lineup) is as dangerous as they come against Ray. But he's really the only threat.

Either way, I'm going to stick with the Mariners' offense and take the Over 2.5 in the first five on the team total. I'm not playing around with Kansas City's potential power from the right side.

Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals Pick

• Mariners Over 2.5 F5 TT -105 (Bet $105 to Win $100)

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