Oakland Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction: Back This Best NRSI Bet on Friday Night
Oakland Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction: Back This Best NRSI Bet on Friday Night
Athletics vs. Guardians Start Time and Where to Watch
- Date: April 29, 2022
- Game Time: 9:40 pm ET
- Where to Watch: MLB.TV
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Athletics vs. Guardians Total Runs Movement
Oakland Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction
1u - No Runs 2nd Inning/OAK +3.5 (-135) (Bet $135 to Win $100)
*Odds Available at DraftKings at Time of Publishing*
In order to find this prop on DraftKings, you will need to go under “Same-Game Parlay” and then under “Innings”, you will select “Total Runs - 2nd Inning” and select under 0.5. After that, you will head over to game lines and select the +3.5 alternative line for Oakland. I miss the days where we could just bet NRSI’s straight up but the books finally figured out that there’s an edge and you can’t play them straight up amymore without paying significant juice. As for tonight’s bet, why do I lkke to so much? Let's dig in.
It’s not often you see a game total of 6.5. With such a low total and the 2nd inning being the notoriously lowest-scoring streak inning of baseball you could almost stop there and play it. Giving it some context though I see a bounceback for Aaron Civale, he has struggled so far this year but he seems to be too talented of a guy to keep this cold streak going. Weirdly enough, he was significantly better on the road last year than at home and I’m hoping for that trend to continue. Frankie Montas has some good experience vs these Guardians bats, unlike Civale. In 48 at-bats he has only allowed 7 hits. That is an incredibly low .145 average.
We’re backing Oakland with a +3.5 second leg with how dominant Montas is in general and against these bats specifically. The scariest part of this bet is Oakland scoring in the 2nd off of Civale and they’ve been struggling offensively lately. The Athletics only have 6 runs in their last 5 games and have failed to score a 2nd inning run in 16/19 games. Funny enough Cleveland has also failed to score in the 2nd inning in 16/19. Disregarding the pitching completely the chance of the NRSI hitting strictly off of hit rate is over 70%. This bet just makes too much sense to run back the NRSI’s. When Montas starts we have only seen them lose by 4+ once in his last 21 starts and that was this year against Philadelphia. That offense is much scarier than this Athletics one so I think we’re just getting a discounted NRSI bet.