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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz is back with his top MLB bets and parlay picks for Thursday's slate. He breaks down two parlays for us here.
ANALYSIS

MLB Parlay Picks for Thursday: Cash In With This Expert's +645 Parlay

Due to popular demand, we're adding an article at Oddschecker that consists of two parlays. I'm going to add two different parlays with one being a moneyline parlay and the other being a totals parlay in the MLB daily. You can always mix and match these parlays where you see the value!

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MLB Moneyline Parlay Picks (+459) (Bet $100 to win $459)

  • Rockies (-135)
  • Blue Jays (-155)
  • Marlins (-105)

Antonio Senzatela has been very unlucky this season. Sure, he needs more strikeouts but overall, he's getting a solid number of ground balls and his BABIP is still through the roof. Against the Nationals, those ground balls should come at a rapid pace. The Nationals' projected lineup is hitting over 50% ground balls against righties. Meanwhile, the Rockies' lineup will take on Aaron Sanchez of the Nationals. The Rockies just have a better lineup overall and more bats that can take advantage of mistakes. Back the Rockies.

The Blue Jays have some momentum after defeating the Yankees last night. Jose Berrios has been electric recently, allowing just four runs in three games. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays will bat against Aaron Civale who still has an ERA above 10. Civale has been horrible against righties and the Blue Jays have a full lineup of right-handed bats ready to smack him around.

This is a fade of Nick Martinez. Martinez should never be a favorite against Jesus Luzardo. Luzardo has always been hot and cold and you never know what to expect out of him. But recently he's been showing some consistency. The Marlins also have some bats that have done well against righties this season, including Jazz Chisholm and Jesus Sanchez.

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MLB Total Runs Parlay Picks +645 (Bet $100 to win $645)

  • Reds vs. Brewers Over 7.5 (-105)
  • Mets vs. Phillies Under 8 (+100)
  • Twins vs. Orioles Over 8 (-110)

The Brewers went off the walls last night against the Reds. I'm hoping that the Brewers still saved some runs for tonight. Hunter Greene is a sensational pitcher but he's had his mistakes this season. Greene also won't be going very deep in this game. That means the Reds bullpen will come into the game to allow plenty more runs. Also, Adrian Houser is nothing special either. The Reds can get some runs across the board.

Aaron Nola has been so much better analytically this season than the box score and game log show. He's allowed six runs to the Mets in two starts but still has double-digit strikeouts in those two outings. Meanwhile, Walker has thrown just seven innings this season. Both were against the Phillies and in both games, he allowed no runs. Give me the under here.

Last year, I never thought we'd see a total of 8 between Chris Archer and Spenser Watkins. This is a complete fade of two pitchers that are just average pitchers having better starts to the season early. One of these two will struggle, and that'll be enough to get the over in this game.

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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