Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction: Is Charlie Morton Officially Passed His Prime?
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction: Is Charlie Morton Officially Passed His Prime?
The Milwaukee Brewers are one win away from 20 wins on the season. Last night, the Braves ended up winning 3-2 in a pitching duel. Atlanta is now 13-16 on the season but could end up winning the series against the Brewers with a win today.
Can Atlanta get a good enough pitching performance from Charlie Morton in today’s rubber match? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Sunday’'s game between the Atlanta Braves and Milwaukee Brewers.
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Braves vs. Brewers Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: May 8, 2022
- Game Time: 1:35 pm ET
- Where to Watch: BSSE, BSWI
Click Here for Braves vs Brewers Odds
Braves vs. Brewers Injury Report
Braves
Out: OF Eddie Rosario (Eye), C Manny Pina (Wrist)
Brewers
None of Importance
Braves vs. Brewers Line Movement
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Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
The Braves won the World Series last year thanks to premier pitching from their entire starting rotation. But for whatever reason, Braves starter Charlie Morton has struggled this season.
Morton is 1-3 with a 6.85 ERA. He’s got an xFIP of 6.47 with 15.8% of strikeouts and 12.3% of walks. He’s also induced just 38.5% of ground balls and is giving up nearly 25% of line drives to start the season.
Against lefties, Morton has really seen the damage. In 56 plate appearances, Morton is giving up a .474 wOBA and ISO of .333. Those Brewers lefties like Kolten Wong, Christian Yelich, and Rowdy Tellez could do real damage knowing how well they’ve hit for power against righties to start the season.
Meanwhile, the Brewers are sending out a young lefty in Aaron Ashby. Ashby has command issues with 15.6% of walks but also has struck out 27.3% of batters in the last 30 days. Ashby is taking on a Braves lineup that has struck out 30.4% of the time against lefties. That bodes well for Ashby. If he can keep his control and command intact and earn a high amount of strikeouts, the Brewers should be well on their way to a victory against the Braves.
After all, Ashby has limited power and has also limited wOBA to both sides even with the high amount of walks this season. The Braves lineup still has a .191 ISO and wOBA of .315, but overall, Ashby hasn’t allowed ridiculous contact. The ball is rarely in play against him. So let’s take the Brewers to win the rubber match on the moneyline
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick
- Brewers (+110) (Bet $100 to Win $110)
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Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.