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The Red Sox head to Atlanta for their first interleague series of the season against the Braves on Tuesday night. MLB expert Mike Spector chimes in with his best MLB play for the day.

Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction: Will the Offense Be Clicking Tonight?

To say that the start of the 2022 season has been a disappointment for the Boston Red Sox is a massive understatement. The 10-19 Red Sox are in last place in the AL East and own the second-worst winning percentage in the American League.

Similarly, the Atlanta Braves cannot be thrilled about their 14-16 start to the season as they defend their World Series championship. However, they sit in second place in the NL East and are seemingly well within striking distance of the first-place Mets. And after all, there will likely always be optimism in Atlanta, considering they won last year’s World Series despite not going over .500 until August 6th. Read on for our best play in tonight’s series opener between the Red Sox and Braves.

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Braves vs. Red Sox Start Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: May 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:20 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: TBS

Click here for Braves vs Red Sox Odds

Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Run Total Movement

Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

Boston enters its first interleague series against Atlanta amid a five-game losing streak and has lost 14 of its last 18 games. However, the Red Sox could have a better record if not for failing to succeed in close games. Seventeen of Boston’s 29 games have been decided by two or fewer runs, ten of which have been one-run games.

Despite getting out of the gate slowly, something similar about the Red Sox and the Braves is that they have gotten excellent starting pitching. Red Sox starting pitchers have allowed more than two earned runs just three times in the last 17 games, while Atlanta’s starters have allowed three or fewer earned runs in more than half (16) of 30 starts.

After years of bouncing around the minor leagues and making an occasional start in the majors, Atlanta’s Kyle Wright (3-1, 1.74) is pitching like a guy that is confident he belongs as a stalwart of the rotation. The confidence started late last year, as the former No. 5 overall draft pick pitched well in the World Series after spending nearly the entire 2021 season in the minors. Wright has a sensational 1.74 ERA in five starts (31 innings) and a 37:7 K:BB ratio. 

Wright is opposed by Boston’s Garrett Whitlock (1-1, 1.25), who leads the majors with a 0.69 WHIP and .185 OBP. In addition, opponents are hitting just .143 against him. His start to the 2022 campaign comes even more as a surprise considering all 46 of his appearances as a rookie last year were in relief. However, the team had confidence in Whitlock’s stuff with their decision to convert him to a starter, especially after he pitched to a 1.96 ERA in 73.1 innings last year.

The over has cashed in each of the last six meetings at Truist Park between the Red Sox and Braves. However, with both starting pitchers dealing to this point and facing two struggling offenses, runs should be at a premium tonight. While several sportsbooks have the total set at 7.5 runs, there are plenty out there offering a line of 8.0, so under backers like us should shop for the best value.

Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Pick

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Article Author


Mike Spector brings unmatched knowledge and insight into the game of football, and more importantly the process of betting on NFL football. Mike is the #2 ranked expert in FantasyPros' NFL betting contest


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