New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction: Will the Yankees Earn League-Leading 21st Win?
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction: Will the Yankees Earn League-Leading 21st Win?
The New York Yankees are looking for their league-leading 21st win tonight when they take on the Toronto Blue Jays. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are just looking to make up some ground in the AL East to start the series with 17 wins of their own.
Will the Yankees continue to roll? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Tuesday’s game between the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays.
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Yankees vs. Blue Jays Start Time and Where to Watch
- Date: May 10, 2022
- Game Time: 7:05 pm ET
- Where to Watch: YES, SNET-1
Click Here for Yankees vs Blue Jays Odds
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Injury Report
Yankees
Out: OF Tim Locastro (Lat)
Blue Jays
Out: 3B Cavan Biggio (Illness), C Danny Jansen (Oblique)
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Total Runs Movement
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
The Toronto Blue Jays will pitch Yusei Kikuchi, a left-handed pitcher with a 4.35 ERA.
In the last 30 days, Kikuchi has a 5.22 xFIP with 15.1% walks but still has been able to induce 54.2% ground balls while allowing just 16.9% of line drives. Overall, however, the lefty has struggled against righties, allowing a .369 wOBA and ISO of .232. Even lefties have an ISO of .333 in 23 plate appearances.
Knowing that the Yankees have lots of power, at home, the Yankees have a solid matchup against Kikuchi. It didn't go as planned last time they faced him, but this will be Kikuchi's third game against the Yankees this season.
Aaron Judge, for example, has a .519 ISO and .437 wOBA against lefties in the last 30 days. There's potential with this Yankees lineup despite scoring just three earned runs in nine innings against Kikuchi this season.
On the other hand, Luis Severino will take the hill for the Yankees. On paper, he looks good with a 2-0 record and an ERA of 3.75. However, analytically, he's just average. Severino has a 4.50 xFIP with 20.2% strikeouts and 7.9% walks. All of those numbers are slightly below average and he’s also allowing 20.6% line drives, which is again, below average.
The righty is struggling a bit with lefties, allowing a .330 wOBA and ISO of .189. But to righties, he’s holding them to a .265 wOBA and ISO of .093. The Blue Jays will likely have seven right-handed bats along with lefties like Zack Collins and Raimel Tapia. With that, Severino should be able to put together a solid outing.
When he took on the Blue Jays on April 14, he held them to two hits and two walks in five innings of work while allowing no runs. But instead of relying on Severino to take care of a solid Blue Jays lineup, I'll instead rely on the Yankees to score two runs in the first five innings against Kikuchi.
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick
- Yankees F5 Team Total Over 1.5 (-150) (Bet $150 to Win $100)
Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.