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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz is back with his top MLB bets and parlay picks for Wednesday's slate. He breaks down two parlays for us here.
ANALYSIS

MLB Parlay Picks for Sunday: Cash In With This Expert's +567 Parlay

Due to popular demand, we're adding an article at Oddschecker that consists of two parlays. I'm going to add two different parlays with one being a moneyline parlay and the other being a totals parlay in the MLB daily. You can always mix and match these parlays where you see the value! Head to the Oddschecker MLB Odds grid to see complete odds for every game today on the board.

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MLB Moneyline Parlay Picks (+336) (Bet $100 to win $336)

  • Mariners (-150)
  • Astros (-125)
  • Cardinals (-220)

The Phillies won't have Zack Wheeler or Zach Eflin to make a start this week. So instead, the Phillies will pitch a Triple-A pitcher in Bailey Falter who has a 4.91 ERA this season and an xFIP above 7. He's walked more than struck out so far through three appearances in the MLB this year and is simply awful against righties as a left-handed pitcher. Meanwhile, Logan Gilbert will take the mound for the Mariners and is 4-0 with an ERA below 2. Which side are you taking?

Chris Archer has a 5.41 xFIP with 10.8% walks in the last 30 days. He's also inducing just 37% ground balls and giving up over 40% hard contact. The Astros rarely strikeout and are always putting the ball in play. That's not good news for Archer. Meanwhile, Jose Urquidy hasn't been elite either for the Astros and he'll get the start tonight. But he's been a bit unlucky and gets to go up against the Twins lineup that has a brutal bottom half of the order. Those are rally killers. Take the Astros.

The Cardinals haven't dominated righties this season. But tonight, I think they can get to Spenser Watkins, who has been awful against righties this season. He also has an xFIP above 6 with 10.3% strikeouts and 10.3% walks in the last 30 days. Knowing that the Cardinals will have at least six righties in the lineup in tonight's game is not good news. With Miles Mikolas on the mound, the Cardinals are a good choice at home.

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MLB Total Runs Parlay Picks +567 (Bet $100 to win $567)

  • Guardians vs. White Sox Over 8.5 (-115)
  • Mets vs. Nationals Under 8 (-110)
  • Rays vs. Angels Under 7 (-115)

The Guardians and White Sox are both throwing out pitchers that haven't had elite success in the majors. Aaron Civale of the Guardians had a 5.71 xFIP with low grounders and high line drives this season. On the other hand, Vince Velasquez still has a 5.61 xFIP this season with 9% walks. Neither pitcher is looking all that elite this season. Let's take the over here.

Some pitchers are just unlucky. Aaron Sanchez hasn't been good but he also hasn't been as awful as his over 8 ERA shares. Instead, Sanchez has an xFIP below 5 and is inducing over 57% of ground balls to start the season. He's going to be fine against the Mets. On the other hand, Tylor Megill has been special to start the year. Only three batters in the Washington order could have success against him, including Juan Soto, Josh Bell, and Yadiel Hernandez. Those are three lefty bats with success against righties. Other than that, there's nothing in that lineup either. Take the under.

Lastly, The Rays were no-hit last night. The offense only had two strikeouts and put the ball in play on 25 of those outs. There wasn't much hard contact, there were a bunch of whiffs and the Rays just didn't swing the bats well. That will carry over against Shohei Ohtani and with Shane McClanahan on the other side, the Angels should ultimately struggle to put wood on the bat tonight too.

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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