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The Washington Nationals host the New York Mets tonight for the second game of a three-game series. Jason Radowitz breaks down the game.
ANALYSIS

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Prediction: Will the Mets Win Another Series to Start Season?

The New York Mets put together a come-from-behind win over the Washington Nationals for their 21st win of the season. The Mets haven't lost a series this season and could end up winning another series with a win tonight over the Nationals. Washington is the worst team in the NL East but there's still plenty of time in the season to change that. A couple of wins over the Mets would add some momentum going into the weekend. Can Washington start a winning streak? Our picks, predictions, and odds for Wednesday's game between the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals.

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Nationals vs. Mets Start Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: May 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MASN/SNY

Click Here for Nationals vs Mets Odds

Nationals vs. Mets Injury Report

Mets

None of Importance

Nationals

Questionable: SS Alcides Escobar (Finger), 3B Carter Kieboom (Elbow)

Nationals vs Mets Line Movement

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Prediction

The Mets will pitch Tylor Megill for a series-clincher. He's got a 4-1 record with a 2.43 ERA to start the season and wasn't even in the starting rotation until Jacob deGrom got hurt before the season began. In the last 30 days, Megill has had a 3.61 xFIP along with 26.8% strikeouts and 7.1% walks. Washington's left-handed bats like Juan Soto, Josh Bell, and Yadiel Hernandez have potential against righties like Megill. But other than those three, it's quiet in that projected lineup for Washington. Meanwhile, Aaron Sanchez will take the hill for Washington. Sanchez has an 8.56 ERA to begin the season. But he really hasn't been terrible. If you look at his analytics, he's been much better. Sanchez has an xFIP of 4.65 with 15% strikeouts and 5% walks. He’s also getting 57.4% ground balls and allowing under 15% of line drives. Don’t be fooled by Sanchez’s ERA. Again, he hasn’t been that bad. The right-hander has been a bit worse against righties, however, allowing a .446 wOBA and ISO of .172 to righties. But that’s just due to low strikeouts and balls being hit in play. The Mets are currently striking out 19.6% of the time using their projected lineup against righties. However, New York is also hitting nearly 45% ground balls with the same lineup and if balls are hit into play, you'd like to think it’ll result in easy ground ball outs a lot of the time. The Mets have more threats in their lineup but overall, Sanchez is going to see some positive regression while Megill is going to continue pitching at a high level. Take the under in the first five innings.

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Pick

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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