Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres Prediction: Can Padres Pull off Upset?

Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres Prediction: Can Padres Pull off Upset?

The San Diego Padres rallied for eight runs to beat the Padres on Friday night. The Padres are now 21-12 on the season and look like they'll actually be competing for a pennant and World Series this season.

Meanwhile, the Braves are sitting at 15-18 and are far from looking like a World Series contender. But as we know from last year, things can change quickly.

Can the Braves earn a win back from the Padres today? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for today's game between the Atlanta Braves and San Diego Padres.

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Braves vs. Padres Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

• Date: May 14, 2022
• Game Time: 4:05 pm ET
• Where to Watch: FS1

Click Here for Braves vs Padres Odds

Braves vs. Padres Injury Report

Braves

Out: OF Eddie Rosario (Eye), C Manny Pina (Wrist)

Padres

Out: SS Fernando Tatis (Wrist), 1B Matt Beaty (Shoulder)

Braves vs. Padres Line Movement

Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres Prediction

Both offenses went on a rampage last night with Yu Darvish and Max Fried on the mound. So what makes you think today will be different with Charlie Morton and Sean Manaea on the mound?

Morton has a 7.06 xFIP in the last 30 days with just 15.7% of strikeouts and 13.9% of walks. He's got a 5.65 ERA and just seems to have run out of gas this season.

He's getting just 36.8% ground balls, giving up 26.3% of line drives, and has struggled badly against lefties this season, allowing a .465 wOBA and ISO of .311 in the last 30 days to lefties.

Looking for the best sportsbook offers? Check out the free bets page The Padres' lineup has been inconsistent but the middle of the order is where the damage will come from. Juricksn Profar, Manny Machado, Eric Hosmer, and Luke Voit have all shown off power against righties recently.

On the other hand, Sean Manaea, a left-hander, will take the mound for the Padres. He has a 3.75 ERA with a 5.13 xFIP. His walks are high at 8.8% and he's only inducing 35.3% ground balls. But the biggest thing is, that he's getting 24.5% strikeouts.

The Braves' projected order is striking out 30.9% of the time against lefties. There's more power in the lineup for the Braves, with an ISO of .183 against lefties in the last 30 days, but it won't matter if the Braves can't make contact.

I'm sure the Braves will score some runs in this game. But ultimately, the Padres are going to score plenty more against Morton, who just isn't himself this year. He's allowed two or more runs in every game but one this year so it's time for the Padres to continue on with that trend.

Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres Pick

• Padres (+120) (Bet $100 to Win $120)