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The Milwaukee Brewers take on the Miami Marlins for the last game in their three-game series. The series is tied 1-1. Can the Brewers continue their power surge? Jason Radowitz breaks down the game.
ANALYSIS

Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction: Will the Brewers Continue Power Surge?

The Milwaukee Brewers don't have the flashiest team but are currently 21-13 on the season. Today, the Brewers will look to rebound against the Miami Marlins after a bad loss to the Marlins last night, losing 9-3. We'll be watching the rubber match of a three-game series today. With ace pitcher Brandon Woodruff on the mound for the Brewers, what can we expect?

Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Sunday’'s game between the Miami Marlins and Milwaukee Brewers.

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Marlins vs. Brewers Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: May 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:40 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: BSFL, BSWI

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Marlins vs. Brewers Injury Report

Marlins

Questionable: OF Garrett Cooper (Knee) Out: 2B Jon Berti (Illness), 3B Joey Wendle (Hamstring)

Brewers

Out: OF Andrew McCutchen (Illness)

Marlins vs. Brewers Line Movement

Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Miami Marlins will send out Elieser Hernandez, who has a 6.37 ERA to start the season. Hernandez also has a 5.76 xFIP in the last 30 days and is striking out under 20% of batters in that same time frame. Hernandez is inducing just 35.4% of ground balls and has allowed a wOBA of .366 to lefties with a .299 ISO. Righties even have a .339 wOBA and ISO of .200 in the last 30 days. Hernandez will take on a Brewers lineup that has a combined .202 ISO and wOBA of .324 against righties in the last 30 days. Between Kolten Wong, Willy Adames, Christian Yelich, Luis Urias, and Rowdy Tellez, there's so much pop in the Brewers lineup against righties and the Brewers only hit ground balls 36.3% of the time with the projected group in the last 30 days against righties. On the other hand, Brandon Woodruff will get the call for the Brewers. He's got a 5.97 xFIP but actually has a 3.13 xFIP in the last 30 days. He's been much better than his ERA and is striking out 38.8% of batters in the last 30 days while only walking 7.1% of batters. He's been a bit unlucky with BABIP, allowing a .381 BABIP despite giving up just 15.2% of line drives this season. The Marlins have a combined .136 ISO and wOBA of .303 against righties in the last 30 days. But only Jazz Chisholm, Jesus Aguilar, and Garrett Cooper (who might not play) have high wOBA against righties. The rest of the lineup isn't very consistent. Take the Brewers on the moneyline in this one.

Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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