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We found a number that was just outrageous. It’s an alternative line but it’s a good one. Here is my pick and prediction for the Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians game.
ANALYSIS

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction: Will Starting Pitching Limit Cleveland?

Here is my pick, prediction, and the odds for Sunday's game between the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians.

Twins vs. Guardians Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: May 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:10 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: BSGL, BSN, MLB Extra Innings

Click Here for Twins vs Guardians Odds

Get 40/1 odds on the Twins vs Guardians Moneyline

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1u - Minnesota Twins Team Total u4.5 runs (-150) (Bet $150 to win $100)

*Odds available at BetMGM at time of publishing*

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

This is certainly worth the juice. Where do I begin? We’ll start by mentioning that Minnesota has only scored 5+ runs one time in their last 10 games. That’s a 90% hit rate for us in the last 10. In that span, they have averaged just 3.2 runs per game which is far from the 5+ they would need to break our heart today. They’ve been winning low-scoring games due to their pitching playing out of their mind this year, don’t be fooled by their record and get scared here to lay the juice.

McKenzie certainly is a guy we have faded more than we have backed but there’s cause to be optimistic today. He faced off against Minnesota twice last year and only 1 allowed run in each game and went 6 innings in both. If he duplicates last year's performances I like our odds. McKenzie has a 2.76 ERA this year and has only allowed 2 runs in his last two starts over 12.1 innings pitched. I think he is slowly becoming a very solid pitcher in this league and I’m looking forward to seeing how he progresses throughout the season.

I know juice like this is unplayable to some but I see such a massive edge here. It’s not often we lose ones juiced this big but I understand the hesitation if it’s not something you’re used to doing. Minnesota missing in 9 of 10 and McKenzie's great history vs them aren’t the only edges here. Minnesota is at home and pitching Joe Ryan who I also love. There’s a chance that he pitches so well that Minnesota might not even bat in the bottom of the 9th so they’d need 5+ runs possibly in eight innings, that’s tough. I absolutely love this bet and think it should be in the -200s. I will gladly drink every bit of the juice here and go in confident here.

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Article Author

NFLNBAMLB

Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

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