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The Tampa Bay Rays will host the Detroit Tigers for the first game of their three-game series tonight. Will the Rays dominate? Justin Perri breaks down the game.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction: Can The Rays Dominate Early?

The Detroit Tigers are 12-23 this season, good for the third-worst record in baseball. They just finished a sweep of the lowly Baltimore Orioles who played the entire series without two of their best hitters of the season. I'm trying not to give the Tigers too much credit for their success against a hobbled opponent, especially since they dropped four of the five prior games to Oakland, another bad offense.

Detroit now must travel to Tampa and play one of the most sound teams in baseball, the Rays. I do not see the Tigers winning this game, but especially not early in the contest, so we're going to be playing the Rays F5 Run Line -0.5 at -125, which can be found at DraftKings Sportsbook. Here is my prediction, pick, and the odds for the Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers later tonight. Let's dive into the details.

Bet $5, Win $200 if the Rays or the Tigers Win

Twins vs. Guardians Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: May 16, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: BSD, BSN, MLB Extra Innings

Click Here for Rays vs Tigers Odds

Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

On the mound for Tampa will be Corey Kluber. Don't let his 4.55 ERA worry you, as most of that damage came from his last outing where he gave up eight runs in three innings to the Angels. That's more than half of the 15 runs he's allowed across the plate this season. The Halos are second best in the Majors by wRC+ at hitting Right Hand Pitching (RHP) like Kluber, but the Tigers are second worst. Kluber should bounce back very well here. The Rays will be facing Alex Faedo, and while I could make jokes about fading the kid, it's his first career road start and he allowed two runs to the Pirates and A's to open the season. It's not far-fetched to think that the Rays should be leading this game by the time the fifth inning ends. Fadeo should struggle with the lineup the third time through. Statistically, this should hold up as well, in their last 10 true road games the Tigers are 1-9 and have scored 20 total runs. However, of those 20 runs, just seven came in the first five innings. With the price only -125 I think we're getting a steal. I would price this line at -150. The Rays should get this one done for us to start the week right. Good luck!

Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers Pick

Pick: Rays F5 Run Line -0.5 -125 (Bet $125 to win $100)

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Article Author


Justin applies his background in physics and advanced probability statistics to sports betting through developing and analyzing predictive data models. Focusing on College Basketball and Major League Baseball, Justin’s approach is finding agreement between traditional handicapping methods and statistical analysis. He has appeared on CBS SportsLine and The Early Edge, and also co-hosts Market Movers on YouTube.


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