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It’s not often you see -300 favorites in the MLB, when you do you need to find a way to reduce the juice and tail. Here is my next bet of the day this time on the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Best Bet: Back the Heavy Favorite and Walker Buehler This Way

Here is our prediction, player prop, and odds for today's Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks game.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: May 18, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

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Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Line Movement

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

1u - Dodgers Double Result/Dodgers Over 1.5 Runs SGP (-135) (Bet $135 to Win $100)

*Odds Available at BetMGM at Time of Publishing*

I will start off by explaining what a double result is for those who are unaware. Essentially after five innings we need the Dodgers to have at least a 1 run lead and then win the game outright. We added Dodgers to score 2+ runs to reduce the juice and because it’s correlating. The only way we win the double result but lose is if it’s 1-0 after five innings and both teams fail to score another run. That just isn’t going to happen. Make sure not to pivot on this bet at Caesars, for whatever reason they consider double results to be after four innings, not sure why that is but I’m just the messenger. You can bet on the double result alone on Fanduel at -145 but we have faith that Dodgers score 2 here.

So why am I so confident in this one? Well these two teams just played on April 25 and Walker Buehler had an outstanding game. He went all 9 innings and only allowing 3 hits and no runs. He’s on the bump again and we have no reason to believe the Diamondbacks will now magically hit him. He also got absolutely horked on by Philadelphia last game and it’s very rare to see him have two bad starts in a row, I think he dominates from the jump and the Dodgers don’t look back.

Zach Davies is on the mound for Arizona, he pitched on April 26 the day following Buehler's great start but he wasn’t as dominant. He allowed 3 runs in four innings and couldn’t locate the strike zone walking four batters. The Dodgers have a lifetime .343 OBP against him and that’s even factoring in some pitchers hitting which is a thing of the past. I think he’s good to allow a couple of runs and Buehler should dominate. The Dodgers to win is -300 so we’re reducing the juice to -135 and all we need is them to lead after 5 innings and score 2 total runs, not much to ask.

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Article Author


Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.


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